AC Horsens vs Randers FC preview
In the Denmark Superliga match between AC Horsens and Randers FC, the 1X2 probabilities show AC Horsens at 39%, Randers FC at 36%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. AC Horsens has an expected goals figure of 2.21, while Randers FC sits at 1.51.
The model indicates a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 70%. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise, such as a lower-scoring match or a draw, which might affect the predicted scoreline and goal expectations.
AC Horsens vs Randers FC: model vs market
| Source | AC Horsens | Draw | Randers FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Published | 39% | 26% | 36% |
| Edge | +19% | -5% | -14% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.51.
- The market prices AC Horsens below the model: +19.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
AC Horsens and Randers FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.72
- Attack rating (AC Horsens / Randers FC)
- 1.30 / 1.06
- Defence rating (AC Horsens / Randers FC)
- 0.98 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AC Horsens vs Randers FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AC Horsens goals. Columns: Randers FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AC Horsens vs Randers FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AC Horsens vs Randers FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Horsens | 39% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Randers FC | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AC Horsens or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Randers FC) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Horsens win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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AC Horsens and Randers FC recent form
AC Horsens
3W 1D 2L
Randers FC
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Horsens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.
Randers FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Horsens at home only, Randers FC away only.
Before and after this match
- AC Horsens, previous: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens prediction
- Randers FC, previous: Randers FC – Viborg, 2026-10-11