Randers FC vs Viborg: model vs market
| Source | Randers FC | Draw | Viborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | +8% | -1% | -7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Randers FC vs Viborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Viborg, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randers FC | 3.24 | 3.24 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.52 | +0.00 |
| Viborg | 2.06 | 2.07 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Randers FC and Viborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Randers FC / Viborg)
- 1.06 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Randers FC / Viborg)
- 1.05 / 0.92
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Randers FC vs Viborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Randers FC goals. Columns: Viborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Randers FC vs Viborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Randers FC vs Viborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Randers FC | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Viborg | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Randers FC or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Viborg) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Viborg win by 2+ | 20% | 5.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Randers FC and Viborg recent form
Randers FC
3W 0D 3L
Viborg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Randers FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Randers FC at home only, Viborg away only.
Randers FC vs Viborg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Randers FC 1 · draws 0 · Viborg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | Viborg | 3-2 | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-10-05 | Randers FC | 2-1 | Viborg | Denmark Superliga |
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