Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 10

Randers FC vs Viborg

· Cepheus Park Randers, Landers· Referee Svendsen·Frederik

Full time0 – 2

Alin prediction was Viborg to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Randers FCDrawViborg

Randers FC vs Viborg: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRanders FCDrawViborg
Model36%25%38%
Market30%27%44%
Published31%26%42%
Edge+2%0%-1%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Randers FC vs Viborg odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Viborg, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 2.06Now 2.15 +0.09
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Randers FC3.243.17-0.07
Draw3.523.52+0.00
Viborg2.062.15+0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Randers FC and Viborg expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.58Randers FC
1.62Viborg
Total expected goals
3.20
Attack rating (Randers FC / Viborg)
1.06 / 1.07
Defence rating (Randers FC / Viborg)
1.05 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Randers FC vs Viborg score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.1% 5.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.7% 1 5.4% 11.5% 8.5% 4.6% 2.7% 2 5.1% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 2.1% 3 2.7% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 4+ 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6%

Rows: Randers FC goals. Columns: Viborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Randers FC vs Viborg goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Randers FC vs Viborg

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Randers FC31%3.20
Draw26%3.79
Viborg42%2.36
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.61
Under 2.538%2.64
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.84
Double chance1X (Randers FC or draw)58%1.73
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Viborg)69%1.45
Handicap -1Viborg win by 2+20%5.09
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Randers FC and Viborg recent form

Randers FC 3W 0D 3L
Viborg 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Randers FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viborg away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Randers FC at home only, Viborg away only.

Injuries & availability

Randers FC absences

  • B. Orn injury
  • C. Edudzi injury
  • F. Lauenborg injury
  • F. Sommer injury
  • J. Bjorkengren injury
  • L. Lissens injury
  • W. Dammers injury

Viborg absences

  • M. Riahi knee injury
  • R. Mitchell injury
  • T. Freriks knock
  • V. Lunddal injury
  • Y. Njoh injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Randers FC lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 P. Izzo
  2. 44 N. Dyhr
  3. 27 N. Hopland
  4. 3 D. Høegh
  5. 24 S. Hansen
  6. 17 M. Greve
  7. 8 L. Pedersen
  8. 21 A. Henriksson
  9. 11 E. Mahmoud
  10. 7 M. Themsen
  11. 30 M. Sankoh

Bench: O. Jones, W. Caddy, M. Sjølstad, H. Hoyrup, S. Stuker, J. Storch, C. Edudzi, A. Camara, K. Junker

Viborg lineup · 4-3-3

  1. 20 K. Kiilerich
  2. 23 O. Bundgaard
  3. 24 D. Anyembe
  4. 4 L. Kirkegaard
  5. 26 Hjalte Bidstrup
  6. 6 M. Søndergaard
  7. 13 J. Grønning
  8. 8 A. Beck
  9. 11 C. Nouck
  10. 19 Dorian Hanza
  11. 10 S. Jalal

Bench: L. Lund, V. Lunddal Friðriksson, R. Alte, Frederik Damkjer, Philip Keller, Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen

Randers FC vs Viborg head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Randers FC 6 · draws 1 · Viborg 2.

Randers FCDrawsViborg
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-13Randers FC2-0ViborgFriendlies Clubs
2025-11-02Viborg3-2Randers FCDenmark Superliga
2025-10-05Randers FC2-1ViborgDenmark Superliga
2024-12-01Viborg1-2Randers FCSuperliga
2024-07-28Randers FC3-1ViborgSuperliga
2024-05-15Randers FC1-0ViborgSuperliga
2024-04-28Viborg0-0Randers FCSuperliga
2024-03-03Viborg3-0Randers FCSuperliga
2023-08-25Randers FC1-0ViborgSuperliga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match