Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 10

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense

· Right to Dream Park, Farum· Referee Morten Krogh

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was FC Nordsjaelland to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC NordsjaellandDrawOdense

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC NordsjaellandDrawOdense
Model62%22%16%
Market62%20%17%
Published62%21%17%
Edge0%+1%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.96.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Nordsjaelland, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 1.48Now 1.49 +0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC Nordsjaelland1.481.49+0.01
Draw4.504.60+0.10
Odense5.505.39-0.11

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC Nordsjaelland and Odense expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.07FC Nordsjaelland
0.96Odense
Total expected goals
3.03
Attack rating (FC Nordsjaelland / Odense)
1.28 / 0.85
Defence rating (FC Nordsjaelland / Odense)
0.78 / 0.99

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.8% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 1 9.1% 10.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.4% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 3 7.2% 6.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 6.0% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%

Rows: FC Nordsjaelland goals. Columns: Odense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Nordsjaelland62%1.60
Draw21%4.82
Odense17%5.93
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.72
Under 2.542%2.39
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.21
Double chance1X (FC Nordsjaelland or draw)83%1.20
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Odense)38%2.66
Handicap -1FC Nordsjaelland win by 2+39%2.56
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

FC Nordsjaelland and Odense recent form

FC Nordsjaelland 3W 1D 2L
Odense 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Nordsjaelland at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Odense away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Nordsjaelland at home only, Odense away only.

Injuries & availability

FC Nordsjaelland absences

  • A. Mohammed knee injury
  • S. Alio knee injury

Odense absences

  • J. Niemiec knee injury
  • P. Therkildsen injury
  • W. Martin knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

FC Nordsjaelland lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 13 A. Hansen
  2. 4 Noah Markmann
  3. 3 T. Salquist
  4. 25 V. Nelsson
  5. 23 R. Norheim
  6. 6 M. Brink
  7. 18 Justin Janssen
  8. 28 M. Walker
  9. 14 Ibrahim Adel
  10. 29 V. Berthelsen
  11. 40 H. Boe Rasmussen

Bench: P. Ankersen, J. Lähteenmäki, N. Røjkjær, P. Amoako, A. Lind, S. Acquah, M. Heyde, C. Eriksson, Lamine Sadio

Odense lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 V. Myhra
  2. 28 Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen
  3. 29 J. Gomez
  4. 4 Julian Andreas Pauli
  5. 13 J. Berthel Askou
  6. 8 R. Falk
  7. 6 F. Ulvestad
  8. 17 N. Ganaus
  9. 7 J. Arp
  10. 15 M. McCoy
  11. 18 A. Ahl-Holmström

Bench: M. Hansen, A. Sørensen, U. Yttergård Jenssen, T. Keskinen, A. Suhonen, C. Gammelgaard, Nikolaj Juul-Sandberg, I. Ouédraogo, M. Rakneberg

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC Nordsjaelland 4 · draws 2 · Odense 4.

FC NordsjaellandDrawsOdense
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-11-02FC Nordsjaelland2-4OdenseDenmark Superliga
2025-08-31Odense1-2FC NordsjaellandDenmark Superliga
2023-12-03Odense1-1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
2023-10-08FC Nordsjaelland0-1OdenseSuperliga
2023-02-24FC Nordsjaelland4-2OdenseSuperliga
2023-01-21FC Nordsjaelland4-0OdenseFriendlies Clubs
2022-11-23FC Nordsjaelland1-2OdenseFriendlies Clubs
2022-07-18Odense0-2FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
2022-05-08FC Nordsjaelland1-1OdenseSuperliga
2022-04-03Odense2-1FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match