FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense preview
FC Nordsjaelland hosts Odense with a 62% probability to win, making them the clear favorites. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with their expected goals of 2.07 compared to Odense's 0.96. The market suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
However, the recent form shows FC Nordsjaelland has mixed results, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Odense has been more consistent, with four wins and a draw in their last five. This could impact the outcome, as Odense has shown resilience in their performances. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense: model vs market
| Source | FC Nordsjaelland | Draw | Odense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| Published | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Edge | -1% | +2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.96.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Nordsjaelland, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.48 | 1.48 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.00 |
| Odense | 5.50 | 5.50 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Nordsjaelland and Odense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (FC Nordsjaelland / Odense)
- 1.28 / 0.85
- Defence rating (FC Nordsjaelland / Odense)
- 0.78 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Nordsjaelland goals. Columns: Odense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 62% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Odense | 17% | 6.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Nordsjaelland or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Odense) | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FC Nordsjaelland and Odense recent form
FC Nordsjaelland
3W 1D 2L
Odense
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Nordsjaelland at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Odense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Nordsjaelland at home only, Odense away only.
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Nordsjaelland 4 · draws 2 · Odense 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2-4 | Odense | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-08-31 | Odense | 1-2 | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga |
| 2023-12-03 | Odense | 1-1 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| 2023-10-08 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0-1 | Odense | Superliga |
| 2023-02-24 | FC Nordsjaelland | 4-2 | Odense | Superliga |
| 2023-01-21 | FC Nordsjaelland | 4-0 | Odense | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-11-23 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-2 | Odense | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-07-18 | Odense | 0-2 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| 2022-05-08 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-1 | Odense | Superliga |
| 2022-04-03 | Odense | 2-1 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
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