Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 11

Odense vs Brondby

· Nature Energy Park, Odense

Alin prediction Brondby to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
OdenseDrawBrondby
Best market odds
Odense3.05 Draw3.80 Brondby2.25
Bet on Brondby

Odense vs Brondby preview

In the Denmark Superliga fixture between Odense and Brondby, the 1X2 probabilities show Brondby at 42%, Odense at 32%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a 9% chance.

Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Odense recording 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches, while Brondby has 1 win and 5 losses. The expected goals are close, with Odense at 1.41 and Brondby at 1.46. The model indicates a 55% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability for both teams to score, but a lack of scoring from Odense could affect these predictions.

Odense vs Brondby: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOdenseDrawBrondby
Model35%27%37%
Market31%26%43%
Published32%26%42%
Edge+4%+2%-6%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.

Odense vs Brondby odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Brondby, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.

Opened 2.15Now 2.17 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Odense3.023.01-0.01
Draw3.643.64+0.00
Brondby2.152.17+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Odense and Brondby expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.42Odense
1.46Brondby
Total expected goals
2.87
Attack rating (Odense / Brondby)
0.76 / 1.11
Defence rating (Odense / Brondby)
0.91 / 1.14

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Odense vs Brondby score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.8% 7.1% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 1 6.8% 12.8% 8.5% 4.1% 2.1% 2 5.7% 8.3% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 3 2.7% 3.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 4+ 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Rows: Odense goals. Columns: Brondby goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Odense vs Brondby goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Odense vs Brondby

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Odense32%3.11
Draw26%3.83
Brondby42%2.40
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.83
Under 2.545%2.21
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.69
No41%2.45
Double chance1X (Odense or draw)58%1.72
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Brondby)68%1.47
Handicap -1Brondby win by 2+18%5.48
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Odense and Brondby recent form

Odense 2W 3D 1L
Brondby 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Odense at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brondby away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Odense at home only, Brondby away only.

Odense vs Brondby head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Odense 0 · draws 0 · Brondby 2.

OdenseDrawsBrondby
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-10-27Odense1-4BrondbyDenmark Superliga
2025-09-28Brondby5-1OdenseDenmark Superliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Brondby to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Brondby