Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg preview
In the Denmark Superliga fixture between Sonderjyske and Silkeborg, the 1X2 probabilities show Silkeborg at 40%, Sonderjyske at 35%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 71%, indicating a strong possibility of an open game.
Sonderjyske's expected goals stand at 1.63, while Silkeborg's are higher at 2.05. Recent form shows Sonderjyske with a record of L-W-L-D-L-W, while Silkeborg has D-W-D-D-D-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that while Silkeborg has the edge, unexpected results could still occur.
Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg: model vs market
| Source | Sonderjyske | Draw | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Published | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Edge | -8% | -3% | +11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.63.
- The market prices Silkeborg below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Silkeborg, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonderjyske | 2.36 | 2.45 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.54 | -0.12 |
| Silkeborg | 2.64 | 2.60 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sonderjyske and Silkeborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.68
- Attack rating (Sonderjyske / Silkeborg)
- 0.89 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Sonderjyske / Silkeborg)
- 1.38 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sonderjyske goals. Columns: Silkeborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sonderjyske | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Silkeborg | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sonderjyske or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Silkeborg) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Silkeborg win by 2+ | 28% | 3.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sonderjyske and Silkeborg recent form
Sonderjyske
2W 1D 3L
Silkeborg
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sonderjyske at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Silkeborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sonderjyske at home only, Silkeborg away only.
Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sonderjyske 2 · draws 0 · Silkeborg 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Sonderjyske | 2-1 | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-08-31 | Silkeborg | 0-2 | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- AC Horsens vs Randers FC 2026-10-16
- Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Odense v Brondby — match page 2026-10-18
- FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Viborg vs FC Midtjylland 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Sonderjyske, previous: Aarhus v Sonderjyske analysis
- Silkeborg, previous: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens prediction