Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland preview
In the Denmark Superliga fixture between Lyngby and FC Nordsjaelland, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Nordsjaelland at 52%, compared to Lyngby's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% probability. The expected goals indicate Lyngby at 1.00 and FC Nordsjaelland at 1.98, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from the visitors.
Both teams to score has a 56% chance, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 57%. However, Lyngby's recent form of L-L-D-W-W-D could lead to an unexpected result, especially if they improve their scoring. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland: model vs market
| Source | Lyngby | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| Market | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Published | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| Edge | -8% | -1% | +8% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.00.
- The market prices FC Nordsjaelland below the model: +8.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Nordsjaelland, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyngby | 3.44 | 3.67 | +0.23 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.90 | +0.10 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.94 | 1.85 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lyngby and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.98
- Attack rating (Lyngby / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 0.86 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Lyngby / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 1.18 / 0.71
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lyngby goals. Columns: FC Nordsjaelland goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyngby | 24% | 4.25 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lyngby or draw) | 47% | 2.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Nordsjaelland) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win by 2+ | 36% | 2.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lyngby and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
Lyngby
2W 2D 2L
FC Nordsjaelland
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lyngby at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lyngby at home only, FC Nordsjaelland away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- AC Horsens vs Randers FC 2026-10-16
- Sonderjyske v Silkeborg — match page 2026-10-18
- Odense v Brondby — match page 2026-10-18
- FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Viborg vs FC Midtjylland 2026-10-19
Before and after this match
- Lyngby, previous: Brondby vs Lyngby: odds and pick
- FC Nordsjaelland, previous: Heart Of Midlothian – FC Nordsjaelland, 2026-10-15
- FC Nordsjaelland, next: FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia analysis