Brondby vs Lyngby Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Brondby vs Lyngby: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Brondby	Draw	Lyngby
Model	35%	28%	37%
Market	54%	23%	23%
Published	49%	25%	26%
Edge	-5%	+1%	+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Brondby vs Lyngby odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Brondby, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 1.73Now 1.73 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Brondby	1.73	1.73	+0.00
Draw	3.98	3.98	+0.00
Lyngby	4.10	4.13	+0.04

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Brondby and Lyngby expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.32Brondby

1.36Lyngby

Total expected goals: 2.67
Attack rating (Brondby / Lyngby): 0.86 / 0.82
Defence rating (Brondby / Lyngby): 1.14 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Brondby vs Lyngby score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.1% 8.1% 6.4% 2.9% 1.3% 1 7.9% 13.6% 8.4% 3.8% 1.7% 2 6.0% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 3 2.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Brondby goals. Columns: Lyngby goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Brondby vs Lyngby goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%

Over 1.5 76%

Over 2.5 50%

Over 3.5 28%

Both teams to score: 56%
No goals (0–0): 8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Brondby vs Lyngby

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Brondby	49%	2.03
	Draw	25%	4.05
	Lyngby	26%	3.84
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	50%	2.00
	Under 2.5	50%	2.00
Both teams to score	Yes	56%	1.80
	No	44%	2.25
Double chance	1X (Brondby or draw)	74%	1.35
	12 (either side)	75%	1.33
	X2 (draw or Lyngby)	51%	1.97
Handicap -1	Brondby win by 2+	16%	6.23
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Brondby and Lyngby recent form

Brondby 2W 0D 4L

Lyngby 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Brondby at home

Record (W-D-L): 3-0-2
Win rate: 60%
Goals for / match: 1.40
Goals against / match: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 of 5

They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Lyngby away

Record (W-D-L): 1-0-3
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 1.25
Goals against / match: 1.75
Clean sheets: 1 of 4

They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Brondby at home only, Lyngby away only.

Injuries & availability

Lyngby absences

O. Snorre knee injury
S. Colyn suspended

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Brondby lineup · 4-2-3-1

1 P. Pentz
24 M. Divković
4 L. Binks
32 F. Alves
2 O. Villadsen
18 M. Ejdum
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
7 O. Hyseni
99 B. Slisz
21 M. Younis
38 J. Ambæk

Bench: Christopher Olivier, P. Mortensen, D. Wass, F. Bundgaard, C. Winther, S. Fukuda, R. Canut, W. Sonne Schmid, O. Fenger

Lyngby lineup · 4-4-2

31 D. Kochen
25 R. Tytens
24 M. Garananga
12 David Helgi Aronsson
2 O. Buur
19 G. Fraulo
18 J. Thomasen
14 L. Sandgrav
5 Oliver Højer
10 Í. Þorvaldsson
26 F. Gytkjær

Bench: J. Ægidius, C. Allen, D. Kristjánsson, M. Hebo, Z. Sertdemir, W. Steindorsson, S. Ngabo, M. Fischer, M. Anderson

Brondby vs Lyngby head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Brondby 5 · draws 3 · Lyngby 2.

50% 30% 20%

BrondbyDrawsLyngby

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2025-03-03	Brondby	1-1	Lyngby	Superliga
2024-08-04	Lyngby	0-2	Brondby	Superliga
2023-11-26	Lyngby	3-3	Brondby	Superliga
2023-08-13	Brondby	3-0	Lyngby	Superliga
2023-03-05	Lyngby	1-0	Brondby	Superliga
2022-10-02	Brondby	3-3	Lyngby	Superliga
2022-07-05	Brondby	1-0	Lyngby	Friendlies Clubs
2022-01-22	Brondby	1-4	Lyngby	Friendlies Clubs
2021-02-14	Lyngby	0-4	Brondby	Superliga
2020-11-30	Brondby	4-1	Lyngby	Superliga

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Before and after this match

Brondby, next: Odense vs Brondby prediction
Lyngby, next: Lyngby – FC Nordsjaelland, 2026-10-18