Silkeborg vs AC Horsens Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Silkeborg	Draw	AC Horsens
Model	30%	24%	46%
Market	45%	27%	29%
Published	41%	26%	33%
Edge	-4%	-1%	+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Silkeborg, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 2.15Now 2.10 -0.05

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Silkeborg	2.15	2.10	-0.05
Draw	3.55	3.50	-0.05
AC Horsens	3.08	3.25	+0.17

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Silkeborg and AC Horsens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.51Silkeborg

1.92AC Horsens

Total expected goals: 3.43
Attack rating (Silkeborg / AC Horsens): 0.95 / 1.30
Defence rating (Silkeborg / AC Horsens): 1.03 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 1 3.9% 10.3% 9.0% 5.8% 4.3% 2 3.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.4% 3.3% 3 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.6% 4+ 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9%

Rows: Silkeborg goals. Columns: AC Horsens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 87%

Over 2.5 67%

Over 3.5 45%

Both teams to score: 67%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Silkeborg	41%	2.45
	Draw	26%	3.84
	AC Horsens	33%	3.01
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	67%	1.50
	Under 2.5	33%	3.00
Both teams to score	Yes	67%	1.48
	No	33%	3.08
Double chance	1X (Silkeborg or draw)	67%	1.50
	12 (either side)	74%	1.35
	X2 (draw or AC Horsens)	59%	1.69
Handicap -1	Silkeborg win by 2+	14%	7.06
	Push (exactly one goal)	15%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Silkeborg and AC Horsens recent form

Silkeborg 1W 3D 2L

AC Horsens 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Silkeborg at home

Record (W-D-L): 1-2-1
Win rate: 25%
Goals for / match: 1.00
Goals against / match: 1.25
Clean sheets: 1 of 4

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Horsens away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-2
Win rate: 50%
Goals for / match: 2.00
Goals against / match: 1.75
Clean sheets: 0 of 4

They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.4 at home.

League matches this season before kick-off: Silkeborg at home only, AC Horsens away only.

Injuries & availability

Silkeborg absences

A. Busch ankle injury
K. Kirkegaard injury
M. Jonsson coach's decision
P. Rodin knee injury

AC Horsens absences

C. Vestergaard knee injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

Silkeborg lineup · 3-4-2-1

1 A. Andrésen
24 A. Madsen
3 R. Østrøm
6 M. de Gevigney
19 J. Gammelby
33 M. Freundlich
20 M. Larsen
7 V. Westh
11 O. Ross
21 L. Riisgaard
22 R. Al Hajj

Bench: A. Poulsen, Pedro Ganchas, K. Kirkegaard, S. Berger, M. Hansen, W. Kirk, T. Mikkelsen, J. Nielsen

AC Horsens lineup · 4-2-3-1

1 M. Delač
28 A. Saine
35 M. Kupijbida
26 V. Pálsson
20 K. Lusavec
16 A. Moro
7 I. Miličević
6 J. Bonde
27 Y. Ouorou
15 A. Justinussen

Bench: A. Herdonsson, J. Körkkö, Jimi Weikko Tauriainen, J. Batigi, Fallou Sene, S. Doua, A. Hoff

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Silkeborg 2 · draws 3 · AC Horsens 5.

20% 30% 50%

SilkeborgDrawsAC Horsens

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2023-05-19	AC Horsens	0-1	Silkeborg	Superliga
2023-04-11	Silkeborg	1-2	AC Horsens	Superliga
2022-10-23	AC Horsens	3-2	Silkeborg	Superliga
2022-10-02	Silkeborg	2-1	AC Horsens	Superliga
2021-09-23	AC Horsens	3-2	Silkeborg	DBU Pokalen
2021-07-02	AC Horsens	0-0	Silkeborg	Friendlies Clubs
2020-08-19	Silkeborg	0-0	AC Horsens	Friendlies Clubs
2020-03-05	AC Horsens	2-2	Silkeborg	DBU Pokalen
2019-11-09	AC Horsens	2-1	Silkeborg	Superliga
2019-07-21	Silkeborg	0-3	AC Horsens	Superliga

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense — team news & stats 2026-10-09
Randers FC vs Viborg 2026-10-11
Brondby vs Lyngby — team news & stats 2026-10-11
FC Midtjylland v FC Copenhagen — match page 2026-10-11
Aarhus v Sonderjyske — match page 2026-10-12

Before and after this match

Silkeborg, next: Sonderjyske – Silkeborg, 2026-10-18
AC Horsens, next: AC Horsens vs Randers FC: odds and pick