AB Copenhagen vs Brondby Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby preview

In the upcoming DBU Pokalen match, AB Copenhagen faces Brondby with 22% chances for AB Copenhagen to win, 28% for a draw, and 50% for Brondby to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 11% probability. AB Copenhagen has an expected goals figure of 0.97, while Brondby stands at 1.57, indicating a stronger attacking potential for Brondby.

Both teams to score has a probability of 51%, suggesting that there is a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net. However, the prediction may be challenged if AB Copenhagen improves their recent form, which shows three wins and three losses in their last six matches. Brondby's recent form includes two wins and four losses, which could also affect their performance.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	AB Copenhagen	Draw	Brondby
Model	22%	28%	50%
Market	—	—	—
Published	22%	28%	50%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.97.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

AB Copenhagen and Brondby expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.97AB Copenhagen

1.57Brondby

Total expected goals: 2.55
Attack rating (AB Copenhagen / Brondby): 0.90 / 0.89
Defence rating (AB Copenhagen / Brondby): 0.60 / 0.92

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.0% 11.1% 9.7% 5.1% 2.8% 1 6.4% 13.2% 9.4% 4.9% 2.8% 2 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.3% 3 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 4+ 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: AB Copenhagen goals. Columns: Brondby goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

AB Copenhagen vs Brondby goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 73%

Over 2.5 47%

Over 3.5 25%

Both teams to score: 51%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for AB Copenhagen vs Brondby

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	AB Copenhagen	22%	4.50
	Draw	28%	3.61
	Brondby	50%	2.00
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47%	2.14
	Under 2.5	53%	1.88
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	1.98
	No	49%	2.02
Double chance	1X (AB Copenhagen or draw)	50%	2.00
	12 (either side)	72%	1.38
	X2 (draw or Brondby)	78%	1.29
Handicap -1	Brondby win by 2+	27%	3.73
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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