Updated

Denmark 1. Division · Matchday 13

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

· Monjasa Park, Fredericia

Alin prediction FC Fredericia to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC FredericiaDrawAB Copenhagen
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Fredericia is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
FC Fredericia1.57 Draw4.80 AB Copenhagen5.46

Price as of

Expected return at 1.57: -9.5% per unit staked

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen preview

In the match between FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Fredericia at 40% and AB Copenhagen at 30%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time. Fredericia has an expected goals figure of 1.32, while Copenhagen sits at 1.10.

Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a balanced chance for both sides to find the net. However, Fredericia's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Copenhagen has won 5 of their last 6. This could influence the outcome, as recent performance often impacts team confidence and effectiveness on the pitch.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC FredericiaDrawAB Copenhagen
Model40%30%30%
Market63%19%17%
Published58%22%20%
Edge-6%+3%+3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Fredericia, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.47Now 1.47 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC Fredericia1.471.47+0.00
Draw4.794.79+0.00
AB Copenhagen5.405.40+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33FC Fredericia
1.10AB Copenhagen
Total expected goals
2.43
Attack rating (FC Fredericia / AB Copenhagen)
1.18 / 1.23
Defence rating (FC Fredericia / AB Copenhagen)
0.68 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.1% 8.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 1 10.4% 14.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9% 2 7.8% 8.6% 4.7% 1.7% 0.6% 3 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: FC Fredericia goals. Columns: AB Copenhagen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC Fredericia58%1.74
Draw22%4.54
AB Copenhagen20%4.91
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.28
Under 2.556%1.78
Both teams to scoreYes50%1.98
No50%2.02
Double chance1X (FC Fredericia or draw)80%1.26
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or AB Copenhagen)42%2.36
Handicap -1FC Fredericia win by 2+19%5.21
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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FC Fredericia and AB Copenhagen recent form

FC Fredericia 3W 2D 1L
AB Copenhagen 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC Fredericia at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
4 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.

AB Copenhagen away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: FC Fredericia at home only, AB Copenhagen away only.

FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: FC Fredericia 0 · draws 1 · AB Copenhagen 0.

FC FredericiaDrawsAB Copenhagen
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-31AB Copenhagen1-1FC FredericiaDenmark 1. Division

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC Fredericia to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on FC Fredericia