Kolding IF vs HB Koge preview
In the Denmark 1. Division match between Kolding IF and HB Koge, the 1X2 probabilities show Kolding IF at 47%, while HB Koge is at 27%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Kolding IF has an expected goals figure of 1.73 compared to HB Koge's 1.25, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
Both teams to score stands at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 57%. However, Kolding IF's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Conversely, HB Koge has 2 wins in their last 6, suggesting they might be more competitive.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge: model vs market
| Source | Kolding IF | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.26.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kolding IF vs HB Koge odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kolding IF, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF | 2.23 | 2.23 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.54 | +0.00 |
| HB Koge | 2.87 | 2.87 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kolding IF and HB Koge expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.99
- Attack rating (Kolding IF / HB Koge)
- 1.03 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Kolding IF / HB Koge)
- 0.88 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kolding IF goals. Columns: HB Koge goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kolding IF vs HB Koge
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolding IF | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | |
| HB Koge | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kolding IF or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or HB Koge) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolding IF win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kolding IF and HB Koge recent form
Kolding IF
1W 3D 2L
HB Koge
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kolding IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HB Koge away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kolding IF at home only, HB Koge away only.
Kolding IF vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Kolding IF 1 · draws 1 · HB Koge 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | HB Koge | 2-2 | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-10-17 | HB Koge | 2-1 | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-08-01 | Kolding IF | 3-1 | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Aalborg vs Hobro 2026-10-30
- FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Esbjerg v Hvidovre — match page 2026-10-31
- Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Aarhus Fremad v Hillerød — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Kolding IF, previous: AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF prediction
- HB Koge, previous: Hvidovre – HB Koge, 2026-10-23