Hillerød vs Kolding IF preview
In the fixture between Hillerød and Kolding IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Kolding IF at 41%, while Hillerød sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Kolding IF has a better recent form, with 3 wins in their last 6 matches compared to Hillerød's 2 wins in the same period.
The model predicts a 55% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score. Hillerød has expected goals of 1.45, while Kolding IF is at 1.44, indicating a closely matched contest. However, if Hillerød improves their form or if Kolding IF struggles, the predictions could change.
Hillerød vs Kolding IF: model vs market
| Source | Hillerød | Draw | Kolding IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 41% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hillerød vs Kolding IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kolding IF, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hillerød | 3.05 | 2.93 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.37 | -0.05 |
| Kolding IF | 2.15 | 2.27 | +0.12 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hillerød and Kolding IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.89
- Attack rating (Hillerød / Kolding IF)
- 1.06 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Hillerød / Kolding IF)
- 0.97 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hillerød vs Kolding IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hillerød goals. Columns: Kolding IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hillerød vs Kolding IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hillerød vs Kolding IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hillerød | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Kolding IF | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hillerød or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Kolding IF) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolding IF win by 2+ | 18% | 5.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Hillerød and Kolding IF recent form
Hillerød
2W 1D 3L
Kolding IF
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hillerød at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolding IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hillerød at home only, Kolding IF away only.
Hillerød vs Kolding IF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Hillerød 1 · draws 4 · Kolding IF 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Kolding IF | 1-1 | Hillerød | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-05-25 | Kolding IF | 3-0 | Hillerød | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-04-25 | Hillerød | 2-0 | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-11-01 | Hillerød | 1-1 | Kolding IF | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-08-29 | Kolding IF | 0-0 | Hillerød | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2024-10-18 | Kolding IF | 3-1 | Hillerød | 1. Division |
| 2024-08-30 | Hillerød | 0-3 | Kolding IF | 1. Division |
| 2023-11-25 | Hillerød | 1-3 | Kolding IF | 1. Division |
| 2023-07-29 | Kolding IF | 2-1 | Hillerød | 1. Division |
| 2021-11-20 | Hillerød | 0-0 | Kolding IF | 2. Division |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Vejle vs FC Fredericia — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- AB Copenhagen v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-11-06
- HB Koge vs Aalborg — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Hobro vs Esbjerg 2026-11-07
- Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Hillerød, previous: Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød prediction
- Kolding IF, previous: Kolding IF vs HB Koge: odds and pick