HB Koge vs Aalborg preview
In the match between HB Koge and Aalborg, the 1X2 probabilities show Aalborg at 42%, while HB Koge sits at 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals is 65%, and both teams to score stands at 67%.
Recent form indicates HB Koge has 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Aalborg has not won in their last 6. In their last 10 encounters, HB Koge has not secured a single victory, with Aalborg winning 8 times. This trend could impact the match outcome, as past performance often influences current results.
HB Koge vs Aalborg: model vs market
| Source | HB Koge | Draw | Aalborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
HB Koge vs Aalborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Aalborg, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| HB Koge | 2.50 | 3.13 | +0.63 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.60 | +0.05 |
| Aalborg | 2.42 | 2.04 | -0.38 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
HB Koge and Aalborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (HB Koge / Aalborg)
- 1.14 / 0.95
- Defence rating (HB Koge / Aalborg)
- 1.26 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
HB Koge vs Aalborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: HB Koge goals. Columns: Aalborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
HB Koge vs Aalborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for HB Koge vs Aalborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HB Koge | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Aalborg | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (HB Koge or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Aalborg) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Aalborg win by 2+ | 17% | 5.97 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
HB Koge and Aalborg recent form
HB Koge
2W 2D 2L
Aalborg
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
HB Koge at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Aalborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: HB Koge at home only, Aalborg away only.
HB Koge vs Aalborg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: HB Koge 0 · draws 2 · Aalborg 8.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Aalborg | 0-0 | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-05-30 | Aalborg | 1-0 | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-04-26 | HB Koge | 1-1 | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-10-02 | Aalborg | 2-1 | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-08-10 | HB Koge | 0-2 | Aalborg | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2023-12-03 | HB Koge | 1-2 | Aalborg | 1. Division |
| 2023-09-22 | Aalborg | 2-0 | HB Koge | 1. Division |
| 2019-11-27 | HB Koge | 0-3 | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen |
| 2013-09-24 | HB Koge | 1-2 | Aalborg | DBU Pokalen |
| 2012-05-20 | Aalborg | 1-0 | HB Koge | Superliga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Vejle vs FC Fredericia — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- AB Copenhagen v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-11-06
- Hillerød v Kolding IF — match page 2026-11-07
- Hobro vs Esbjerg 2026-11-07
- Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- HB Koge, previous: Kolding IF vs HB Koge: odds and pick
- Aalborg, previous: Aalborg vs Hobro prediction