Updated

Denmark 1. Division · Matchday 14

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF

· Gladsaxe Stadium, Copenhagen· Referee S. Aagerup

Alin prediction AB Copenhagen to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AB CopenhagenDrawVendsyssel FF
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.12.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — AB Copenhagen is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
AB Copenhagen1.83 Draw4.00 Vendsyssel FF4.10

Price as of

Expected return at 1.83: -4.9% per unit staked

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF preview

In the fixture between AB Copenhagen and Vendsyssel FF, the 1X2 probabilities show AB Copenhagen at 51%, while Vendsyssel FF sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 1.88 for AB Copenhagen and 1.12 for Vendsyssel FF.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 58%, indicating a decent chance for a high-scoring match. However, AB Copenhagen's recent form of L-L-W-W-W-W contrasts sharply with Vendsyssel FF's D-D-L-L-D-L. This disparity in form could lead to an unexpected result, especially if Vendsyssel FF finds a way to improve their performance.

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAB CopenhagenDrawVendsyssel FF
Model54%25%22%
Market51%25%24%
Published52%25%23%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on AB Copenhagen, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-31.

Opened 2.09Now 1.79 -0.29
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
AB Copenhagen2.091.79-0.29
Draw3.553.75+0.21
Vendsyssel FF3.083.83+0.75

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

AB Copenhagen and Vendsyssel FF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.88AB Copenhagen
1.12Vendsyssel FF
Total expected goals
3.00
Attack rating (AB Copenhagen / Vendsyssel FF)
1.13 / 0.90
Defence rating (AB Copenhagen / Vendsyssel FF)
0.96 / 1.13

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 4.5% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 1 8.3% 11.5% 5.9% 2.2% 0.8% 2 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7% 3 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5% 4+ 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%

Rows: AB Copenhagen goals. Columns: Vendsyssel FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 35%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2AB Copenhagen52%1.92
Draw25%4.07
Vendsyssel FF23%4.26
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.73
Under 2.542%2.36
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.72
No42%2.39
Double chance1X (AB Copenhagen or draw)77%1.31
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Vendsyssel FF)48%2.08
Handicap -1AB Copenhagen win by 2+32%3.16
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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AB Copenhagen and Vendsyssel FF recent form

AB Copenhagen 4W 0D 2L
Vendsyssel FF 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

AB Copenhagen at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Vendsyssel FF away

Record (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Win rate
14%
Goals for / match
1.57
Goals against / match
1.86
Clean sheets
1 of 7
  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: AB Copenhagen at home only, Vendsyssel FF away only.

AB Copenhagen vs Vendsyssel FF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: AB Copenhagen 6 · draws 0 · Vendsyssel FF 4.

AB CopenhagenDrawsVendsyssel FF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-16Vendsyssel FF0-3AB CopenhagenDenmark 1. Division
2026-05-17Vendsyssel FF1-2AB Copenhagen2. Division
2026-04-18AB Copenhagen0-2Vendsyssel FF2. Division
2025-11-08AB Copenhagen3-1Vendsyssel FF2. Division
2025-08-29Vendsyssel FF2-3AB Copenhagen2. Division
2017-04-30AB Copenhagen0-3Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2016-11-13Vendsyssel FF2-1AB Copenhagen1. Division
2016-09-25AB Copenhagen1-3Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2015-05-30AB Copenhagen2-0Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2014-11-23Vendsyssel FF0-1AB Copenhagen1. Division

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot AB Copenhagen to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on AB Copenhagen