Updated

Denmark 1. Division · Matchday 13

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

· Nord Energi Arena, Hjorring

Alin prediction Vejle to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Vendsyssel FFDrawVejle
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.08.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vejle is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Vendsyssel FF3.91 Draw3.87 Vejle1.83

Price as of

Expected return at 1.83: -5.5% per unit staked

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle preview

In the match between Vendsyssel FF and Vejle, the 1X2 probabilities show Vendsyssel FF at 22%, a draw at 25%, and Vejle at 53%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which has a 10% chance of occurring. Vejle's expected goals stand at 1.79, while Vendsyssel FF's is 1.08, indicating a potential edge for Vejle.

Both teams to score has a probability of 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. However, Vendsyssel FF's recent form of D-L-L-D-L-D could impact their performance, while Vejle's form of D-W-L-D-L-D shows some inconsistency. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVendsyssel FFDrawVejle
Model22%25%53%
Market24%24%51%
Published24%25%52%
Edge-1%0%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.08.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Vejle, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 1.81Now 1.81 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Vendsyssel FF3.793.79+0.00
Draw3.803.80+0.00
Vejle1.811.81+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.08Vendsyssel FF
1.79Vejle
Total expected goals
2.87
Attack rating (Vendsyssel FF / Vejle)
0.92 / 1.15
Defence rating (Vendsyssel FF / Vejle)
1.18 / 0.80

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 9.0% 9.1% 5.4% 3.7% 1 5.0% 12.0% 9.8% 5.9% 4.0% 2 3.3% 5.9% 5.3% 3.2% 2.1% 3 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 4+ 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%

Rows: Vendsyssel FF goals. Columns: Vejle goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vendsyssel FF24%4.21
Draw25%4.06
Vejle52%1.94
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.83
Under 2.545%2.21
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.78
No44%2.28
Double chance1X (Vendsyssel FF or draw)48%2.07
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Vejle)76%1.31
Handicap -1Vejle win by 2+30%3.29
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Vendsyssel FF and Vejle recent form

Vendsyssel FF 0W 3D 3L
Vejle 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vendsyssel FF at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Vejle away

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
4 of 6
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vendsyssel FF at home only, Vejle away only.

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Vendsyssel FF 3 · draws 1 · Vejle 6.

Vendsyssel FFDrawsVejle
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-04Vejle4-1Vendsyssel FFDenmark 1. Division
2023-07-15Vejle1-4Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
2023-06-04Vejle4-3Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2023-04-10Vendsyssel FF0-0Vejle1. Division
2023-03-05Vejle1-0Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2022-09-11Vendsyssel FF2-0Vejle1. Division
2020-07-10Vendsyssel FF0-2Vejle1. Division
2019-10-06Vejle1-0Vendsyssel FF1. Division
2019-09-10Vendsyssel FF1-0VejleDBU Pokalen
2019-08-10Vendsyssel FF0-3Vejle1. Division

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Vejle to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Vejle