Vejle vs FC Fredericia preview
In the match between Vejle and FC Fredericia, the 1X2 probabilities show Vejle at 35%, a draw at 28%, and FC Fredericia at 37%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 10% chance. Vejle's expected goals stand at 1.12, while FC Fredericia has 1.28.
Vejle's recent form includes two draws and three losses, while FC Fredericia has three wins and two draws in their last six matches. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 43%, and both teams to score is at 50%. Factors such as Vejle's struggle for form or FC Fredericia's strong recent performances could influence the outcome.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia: model vs market
| Source | Vejle | Draw | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Published | 34% | 28% | 39% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vejle vs FC Fredericia odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Fredericia, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-31.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vejle | 2.21 | 2.67 | +0.46 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.41 | -0.19 |
| FC Fredericia | 2.83 | 2.39 | -0.44 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vejle and FC Fredericia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Vejle / FC Fredericia)
- 1.10 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Vejle / FC Fredericia)
- 0.79 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vejle goals. Columns: FC Fredericia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vejle vs FC Fredericia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 34% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| FC Fredericia | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| No | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vejle or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Fredericia) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Fredericia win by 2+ | 18% | 5.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vejle and FC Fredericia recent form
Vejle
1W 3D 2L
FC Fredericia
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vejle at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
FC Fredericia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Vejle at home only, FC Fredericia away only.
Vejle vs FC Fredericia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Vejle 4 · draws 5 · FC Fredericia 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | FC Fredericia | 2-2 | Vejle | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-05-10 | Vejle | 2-0 | FC Fredericia | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-04-13 | FC Fredericia | 2-2 | Vejle | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-02-09 | Vejle | 2-3 | FC Fredericia | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-15 | FC Fredericia | 1-1 | Vejle | Denmark Superliga |
| 2024-07-06 | Vejle | 3-0 | FC Fredericia | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-03-12 | Vejle | 3-1 | FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| 2023-02-11 | FC Fredericia | 1-1 | Vejle | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-08-12 | FC Fredericia | 0-1 | Vejle | 1. Division |
| 2022-07-01 | FC Fredericia | 1-1 | Vejle | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- AB Copenhagen v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-11-06
- HB Koge vs Aalborg — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Hillerød v Kolding IF — match page 2026-11-07
- Hobro vs Esbjerg 2026-11-07
- Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Vejle, previous: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle: odds and pick
- FC Fredericia, previous: FC Fredericia v AB Copenhagen analysis