Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad preview
Hvidovre faces Aarhus Fremad with a 47% probability of winning compared to 26% for Aarhus Fremad. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 16% of the time in our model. Hvidovre's expected goals stand at 1.29, while Aarhus Fremad's is only 0.73, indicating a potential edge for Hvidovre.
However, both teams to score sits at 39%, suggesting that Aarhus Fremad could find the net. Recent form shows Hvidovre with a D-D-W-W-W-D record, while Aarhus Fremad has struggled with W-L-D-D-L-L. This could impact the match's outcome, especially if Aarhus Fremad improves their performance.
Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad: model vs market
| Source | Hvidovre | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Published | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hvidovre, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hvidovre | 1.97 | 1.92 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.64 | 3.58 | -0.06 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 3.34 | 3.58 | +0.24 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hvidovre and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.02
- Attack rating (Hvidovre / Aarhus Fremad)
- 1.18 / 0.68
- Defence rating (Hvidovre / Aarhus Fremad)
- 0.82 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hvidovre goals. Columns: Aarhus Fremad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 48% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.57 |
| No | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hvidovre or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Aarhus Fremad) | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win by 2+ | 23% | 4.29 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hvidovre and Aarhus Fremad recent form
Hvidovre
3W 3D 0L
Aarhus Fremad
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hvidovre at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus Fremad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-1
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hvidovre at home only, Aarhus Fremad away only.
Hvidovre vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Hvidovre 2 · draws 1 · Aarhus Fremad 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Aarhus Fremad | 1-3 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-11-01 | Aarhus Fremad | 0-0 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-08-15 | Hvidovre | 2-0 | Aarhus Fremad | Denmark 1. Division |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Vejle vs FC Fredericia — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- AB Copenhagen v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-11-06
- HB Koge vs Aalborg — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Hillerød v Kolding IF — match page 2026-11-07
- Hobro vs Esbjerg 2026-11-07
Before and after this match
- Hvidovre, previous: Esbjerg – Hvidovre, 2026-10-31
- Aarhus Fremad, previous: Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød prediction