Esbjerg vs Hvidovre preview
In the match between Esbjerg and Hvidovre, the 1X2 probabilities show Esbjerg at 35%, a draw at 25%, and Hvidovre at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score stands at 67%, and there is a 66% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals.
Esbjerg's expected goals are 1.63, while Hvidovre's are slightly higher at 1.75. Recent form indicates Esbjerg has two wins and three draws in their last five matches, whereas Hvidovre has four wins and one draw. The head-to-head record favors Esbjerg with 4 wins to Hvidovre's 1 in the last five meetings. A potential upset could arise if Esbjerg improves their finishing or if Hvidovre's strong form continues.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre: model vs market
| Source | Esbjerg | Draw | Hvidovre |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hvidovre, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 2.99 | 2.99 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.61 | 3.61 | +0.00 |
| Hvidovre | 2.08 | 2.08 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Esbjerg and Hvidovre expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.39
- Attack rating (Esbjerg / Hvidovre)
- 1.28 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Esbjerg / Hvidovre)
- 1.09 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Esbjerg goals. Columns: Hvidovre goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Esbjerg vs Hvidovre
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Esbjerg | 32% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Hvidovre | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Esbjerg or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Hvidovre) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win by 2+ | 22% | 4.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Esbjerg and Hvidovre recent form
Esbjerg
2W 3D 1L
Hvidovre
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Esbjerg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hvidovre away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Esbjerg at home only, Hvidovre away only.
Esbjerg vs Hvidovre head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Esbjerg 4 · draws 0 · Hvidovre 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Hvidovre | 2-1 | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-05-25 | Hvidovre | 1-4 | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-04-10 | Esbjerg | 1-0 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-11-29 | Hvidovre | 1-3 | Esbjerg | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-07-26 | Esbjerg | 2-1 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Aalborg vs Hobro 2026-10-30
- Kolding IF vs HB Koge 2026-10-31
- FC Fredericia vs AB Copenhagen — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Aarhus Fremad v Hillerød — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Esbjerg, previous: Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland: odds and pick
- Hvidovre, previous: Hvidovre – HB Koge, 2026-10-23