Brabrand vs AC Horsens Prediction & Betting Tips 28/10/2026

Brabrand vs AC Horsens preview

In the DBU Pokalen fixture, Brabrand faces AC Horsens with a 15% chance for Brabrand to win, 19% for a draw, and a 66% probability for AC Horsens to secure the victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. AC Horsens also boasts higher expected goals at 2.50 compared to Brabrand's 1.16.

The model predicts a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 64%. However, Brabrand's recent form shows three wins in their last four matches, which could challenge the expectations set by the model. AC Horsens has had mixed results with two draws and three wins in their last six games, indicating potential for surprises.

Brabrand vs AC Horsens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Brabrand	Draw	AC Horsens
Model	15%	19%	66%
Market	—	—	—
Published	15%	19%	66%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 1.16.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Brabrand and AC Horsens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.16Brabrand

2.50AC Horsens

Total expected goals: 3.66
Attack rating (Brabrand / AC Horsens): 1.12 / 1.05
Defence rating (Brabrand / AC Horsens): 0.81 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Brabrand vs AC Horsens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 5.7% 8.0% 6.7% 7.6% 1 2.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 8.8% 2 1.7% 4.3% 5.4% 4.5% 5.1% 3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 4+ 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7%

Rows: Brabrand goals. Columns: AC Horsens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Brabrand vs AC Horsens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 89%

Over 2.5 71%

Over 3.5 50%

Both teams to score: 64%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Brabrand vs AC Horsens

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Brabrand	15%	6.57
	Draw	19%	5.25
	AC Horsens	66%	1.52
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71%	1.41
	Under 2.5	29%	3.43
Both teams to score	Yes	64%	1.56
	No	36%	2.77
Double chance	1X (Brabrand or draw)	34%	2.92
	12 (either side)	81%	1.24
	X2 (draw or AC Horsens)	85%	1.18
Handicap -1	AC Horsens win by 2+	45%	2.23
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer