Viborg vs AC Horsens preview
In the Denmark Superliga match between Viborg and AC Horsens, Viborg has a 59% chance of winning compared to AC Horsens at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Viborg's expected goals are 1.74, while AC Horsens has 1.55.
Both teams to score stands at 66%, and there is a 64% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, Viborg's recent form shows a mix of results with L-W-W-L-D-L, which could impact their performance. AC Horsens has a slightly better recent record of D-D-D-W-L-W, indicating they could pose a challenge despite their lower probability of winning.
Viborg vs AC Horsens: model vs market
| Source | Viborg | Draw | AC Horsens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Published | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Edge | -7% | +1% | +6% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -15.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Viborg vs AC Horsens odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Viborg, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg | 1.42 | 1.51 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.00 |
| AC Horsens | 6.50 | 5.50 | -1.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Viborg and AC Horsens expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.45
- Attack rating (Viborg / AC Horsens)
- 1.01 / 1.38
- Defence rating (Viborg / AC Horsens)
- 0.91 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Viborg vs AC Horsens score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Viborg goals. Columns: AC Horsens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Viborg vs AC Horsens goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Viborg vs AC Horsens
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viborg | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| AC Horsens | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.46 |
| No | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Viborg or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or AC Horsens) | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Viborg win by 2+ | 17% | 5.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Viborg and AC Horsens recent form
Viborg
2W 1D 3L
AC Horsens
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Viborg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AC Horsens away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Viborg at home only, AC Horsens away only.
Viborg vs AC Horsens head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Viborg 8 · draws 1 · AC Horsens 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | AC Horsens | 2-3 | Viborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-04 | AC Horsens | 0-1 | Viborg | DBU Pokalen |
| 2024-09-04 | AC Horsens | 0-4 | Viborg | DBU Pokalen |
| 2024-01-25 | Viborg | 4-2 | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Horsens | 0-3 | Viborg | Superliga |
| 2022-09-12 | Viborg | 2-1 | AC Horsens | Superliga |
| 2022-07-09 | Viborg | 5-4 | AC Horsens | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2016-12-03 | AC Horsens | 1-2 | Viborg | Superliga |
| 2016-09-10 | Viborg | 2-4 | AC Horsens | Superliga |
| 2015-04-25 | AC Horsens | 0-0 | Viborg | 1. Division |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Lyngby vs Randers FC — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Odense vs Silkeborg 2026-11-01
- FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Brondby v Aarhus — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Viborg, previous: Aarhus vs Viborg: odds and pick
- AC Horsens, previous: Brabrand vs AC Horsens: odds and pick