Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 13

Lyngby vs Randers FC

· Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby

Alin prediction Lyngby to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
LyngbyDrawRanders FC
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lyngby is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Lyngby2.17 Draw3.90 Randers FC3.07

Price as of

Expected return at 2.17: -6.3% per unit staked

Lyngby vs Randers FC preview

In the upcoming match between Lyngby and Randers FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Lyngby at 43%, Randers FC at 32%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.

Lyngby has a recent form of D-L-L-D-W-W, while Randers FC's form is L-D-L-L-W-L. The expected goals are 1.65 for Lyngby and 1.56 for Randers FC. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If either team fails to convert their chances, the predicted scoreline and goal expectations could change.

Lyngby vs Randers FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLyngbyDrawRanders FC
Model40%25%35%
Market44%25%31%
Published43%25%32%
Edge-1%0%+1%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Lyngby vs Randers FC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lyngby, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 2.10Now 2.10 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lyngby2.102.10+0.00
Draw3.703.70+0.00
Randers FC3.063.01-0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lyngby and Randers FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.75Lyngby
1.62Randers FC
Total expected goals
3.37
Attack rating (Lyngby / Randers FC)
0.99 / 0.86
Defence rating (Lyngby / Randers FC)
1.31 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lyngby vs Randers FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 4.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.4% 1 5.0% 10.7% 7.9% 4.3% 2.5% 2 5.3% 8.5% 6.9% 3.7% 2.2% 3 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.2% 1.3% 4+ 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8%

Rows: Lyngby goals. Columns: Randers FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lyngby vs Randers FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 44%
Both teams to score
67%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lyngby vs Randers FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lyngby43%2.32
Draw25%4.00
Randers FC32%3.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.89
Both teams to scoreYes67%1.49
No33%3.05
Double chance1X (Lyngby or draw)68%1.47
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Randers FC)57%1.76
Handicap -1Lyngby win by 2+22%4.60
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Lyngby and Randers FC recent form

Lyngby 1W 2D 3L
Randers FC 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lyngby at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-5-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Randers FC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Lyngby at home only, Randers FC away only.

Lyngby vs Randers FC head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Lyngby 0 · draws 0 · Randers FC 1.

LyngbyDrawsRanders FC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-09Randers FC2-0LyngbyDenmark Superliga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Lyngby to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Lyngby