Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen: model vs market
| Source | Sonderjyske | Draw | FC Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| Market | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| Published | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 1.12.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Copenhagen, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonderjyske | 6.65 | 7.20 | +0.55 |
| Draw | 4.70 | 5.10 | +0.40 |
| FC Copenhagen | 1.40 | 1.36 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (Sonderjyske / FC Copenhagen)
- 1.02 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Sonderjyske / FC Copenhagen)
- 1.44 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sonderjyske goals. Columns: FC Copenhagen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sonderjyske | 13% | 7.83 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.57 | |
| FC Copenhagen | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sonderjyske or draw) | 31% | 3.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Copenhagen) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win by 2+ | 46% | 2.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sonderjyske and FC Copenhagen recent form
Sonderjyske
2W 1D 3L
FC Copenhagen
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sonderjyske at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Copenhagen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sonderjyske at home only, FC Copenhagen away only.
Sonderjyske vs FC Copenhagen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sonderjyske 1 · draws 2 · FC Copenhagen 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | FC Copenhagen | 3-1 | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-12-07 | FC Copenhagen | 0-2 | Sonderjyske | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-27 | Sonderjyske | 1-2 | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-03-09 | FC Copenhagen | 1-1 | Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| 2024-10-30 | Sonderjyske | 1-2 | FC Copenhagen | DBU Pokalen |
| 2024-08-11 | Sonderjyske | 0-2 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| 2024-07-16 | FC Copenhagen | 3-2 | Sonderjyske | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-10-17 | Sonderjyske | 1-1 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| 2021-08-22 | FC Copenhagen | 2-0 | Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| 2021-02-15 | FC Copenhagen | 3-2 | Sonderjyske | Superliga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Lyngby vs Randers FC — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Odense vs Silkeborg 2026-11-01
- Viborg vs AC Horsens 2026-11-01
- FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Brondby v Aarhus — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sonderjyske, previous: AC Horsens v Sonderjyske analysis
- FC Copenhagen, previous: Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen prediction
- FC Copenhagen, next: FC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 1999 analysis