Odense vs Silkeborg preview
In the Denmark Superliga, Odense has a 48% chance of winning against Silkeborg, who has a 27% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% probability. Odense's expected goals are 1.60 compared to Silkeborg's 1.11, suggesting a tighter contest.
While Odense is in decent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, Silkeborg has struggled, managing only 1 win in the same period. Both teams to score has a 55% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. However, Odense's recent form could be disrupted by their head-to-head record, where they have not won any of the last 5 encounters against Silkeborg, who has 4 wins in that span.
Odense vs Silkeborg: model vs market
| Source | Odense | Draw | Silkeborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Odense vs Silkeborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Odense, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odense | 1.91 | 1.79 | -0.12 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.95 | +0.20 |
| Silkeborg | 3.40 | 3.86 | +0.46 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Odense and Silkeborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Odense / Silkeborg)
- 0.80 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Odense / Silkeborg)
- 0.87 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Odense vs Silkeborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Odense goals. Columns: Silkeborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Odense vs Silkeborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Odense vs Silkeborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odense | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Silkeborg | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Odense or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Silkeborg) | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | Odense win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Odense and Silkeborg recent form
Odense
3W 2D 1L
Silkeborg
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odense at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Silkeborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Odense at home only, Silkeborg away only.
Odense vs Silkeborg head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Odense 0 · draws 1 · Silkeborg 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Silkeborg | 1-0 | Odense | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-05-03 | Odense | 2-3 | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-04-12 | Silkeborg | 3-1 | Odense | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-11-07 | Odense | 1-1 | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Silkeborg | 2-1 | Odense | Denmark Superliga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Lyngby vs Randers FC — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Viborg vs AC Horsens 2026-11-01
- FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Brondby v Aarhus — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Odense, previous: FC Midtjylland v Odense analysis
- Silkeborg, previous: Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction