Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 14

Odense vs Viborg

· Odense Stadium, Odense· Referee Jakob Kehlet

Alin prediction Viborg to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
OdenseDrawViborg
  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Viborg is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Odense2.87 Draw3.80 Viborg2.38

Price as of

Expected return at 2.38: -7.8% per unit staked

Odense vs Viborg preview

In the upcoming match between Odense and Viborg, the 1X2 probabilities show Viborg at 37%, Odense at 33%, and a draw at 30%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which occurs at a rate of 9%. While both teams to score stands at 52%, the chance of Over 2.5 goals is lower at 46%.

Odense's recent form includes 2 wins and 3 draws, while Viborg has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. The expected goals are 1.20 for Odense and 1.29 for Viborg, indicating a close contest. However, Odense’s strong head-to-head record, with 2 wins in the last 3 encounters, could challenge Viborg's slight edge in this fixture.

Odense vs Viborg: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceOdenseDrawViborg
Model38%29%33%
Market34%25%41%
Published35%26%39%
Edge+1%+1%-2%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Odense vs Viborg odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Viborg, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.

Opened 2.39Now 2.30 -0.09
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Odense2.602.75+0.15
Draw3.703.71+0.01
Viborg2.392.30-0.09

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Odense and Viborg expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.37Odense
1.25Viborg
Total expected goals
2.61
Attack rating (Odense / Viborg)
0.98 / 0.99
Defence rating (Odense / Viborg)
0.88 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Odense vs Viborg score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.6% 7.9% 5.7% 2.4% 1.0% 1 8.8% 13.7% 7.8% 3.2% 1.3% 2 6.8% 8.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.9% 3 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 4+ 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Odense goals. Columns: Viborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Odense vs Viborg goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 49%
Over 3.5 27%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Odense vs Viborg

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Odense35%2.85
Draw26%3.83
Viborg39%2.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549%2.06
Under 2.551%1.94
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.84
No46%2.19
Double chance1X (Odense or draw)61%1.63
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Viborg)65%1.54
Handicap -1Viborg win by 2+15%6.84
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Odense and Viborg recent form

Odense 2W 3D 1L
Viborg 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Odense at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viborg away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Odense at home only, Viborg away only.

Odense vs Viborg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Odense 4 · draws 1 · Viborg 5.

OdenseDrawsViborg
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-24Viborg1-0OdenseDenmark Superliga
2025-10-19Viborg1-2OdenseDenmark Superliga
2025-07-27Odense3-1ViborgDenmark Superliga
2024-05-25Viborg2-1OdenseSuperliga
2024-04-12Odense1-3ViborgSuperliga
2024-02-16Viborg1-2OdenseSuperliga
2023-08-07Odense1-2ViborgSuperliga
2023-07-09Odense4-0ViborgFriendlies Clubs
2022-10-16Viborg0-0OdenseSuperliga
2022-09-04Odense1-2ViborgSuperliga

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Viborg to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Viborg