Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland preview
In the Denmark Superliga fixture, Randers FC faces FC Nordsjaelland with 29% chances for Randers to win, 28% for a draw, and 43% for Nordsjaelland to take the match. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.22 for Randers and 1.53 for Nordsjaelland.
Both teams show potential for goals, with a 52% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability for both teams to score. However, Randers FC's recent form is concerning, with 4 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. Nordsjaelland remains unbeaten in their last 6 games, making them the stronger side on paper.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland: model vs market
| Source | Randers FC | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Published | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| Edge | +3% | +2% | -5% |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Nordsjaelland, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Randers FC | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.27 | 4.20 | -0.07 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Randers FC / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 0.79 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Randers FC / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 1.01 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Randers FC goals. Columns: FC Nordsjaelland goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Randers FC | 25% | 3.98 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Randers FC or draw) | 49% | 2.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Nordsjaelland) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win by 2+ | 17% | 5.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Randers FC and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
Randers FC
0W 1D 5L
FC Nordsjaelland
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Randers FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-4
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-2
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Randers FC at home only, FC Nordsjaelland away only.
Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Randers FC 1 · draws 0 · FC Nordsjaelland 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-0 | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-0 | Randers FC | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-22 | Randers FC | 3-0 | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Silkeborg vs Lyngby 2026-11-06
- Odense v Viborg — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Copenhagen vs Brondby — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Aarhus vs AC Horsens — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FC Midtjylland v Sonderjyske — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Randers FC, previous: Lyngby vs Randers FC prediction
- FC Nordsjaelland, previous: Monaco – FC Nordsjaelland, 2026-11-05
- FC Nordsjaelland, next: FC Nordsjaelland – Panathinaikos, 2026-11-26