FC Copenhagen vs Brondby preview
In the Denmark Superliga match between FC Copenhagen and Brondby, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Copenhagen at 55%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 (10%). FC Copenhagen has a strong recent form of W-W-D-D-D-W, while Brondby has mixed results with W-W-W-L-W-L.
The expected goals indicate FC Copenhagen at 1.97 and Brondby at 0.98, suggesting a solid advantage for the home side. However, the confidence grade is C, which means unexpected outcomes could occur, such as Brondby scoring, impacting the chances for both teams to score or the total goals exceeding 2.5.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby: model vs market
| Source | FC Copenhagen | Draw | Brondby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Published | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.94.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Copenhagen, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Copenhagen | 1.70 | 1.73 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 3.90 | -0.20 |
| Brondby | 4.25 | 4.23 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Copenhagen and Brondby expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (FC Copenhagen / Brondby)
- 1.29 / 1.18
- Defence rating (FC Copenhagen / Brondby)
- 0.56 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Copenhagen goals. Columns: Brondby goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Brondby | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Copenhagen or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Brondby) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win by 2+ | 38% | 2.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Copenhagen and Brondby recent form
FC Copenhagen
3W 3D 0L
Brondby
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Copenhagen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Brondby away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Copenhagen at home only, Brondby away only.
FC Copenhagen vs Brondby head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Copenhagen 6 · draws 1 · Brondby 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Brondby | 0-1 | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-05-21 | Brondby | 1-3 | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-11-23 | FC Copenhagen | 1-0 | Brondby | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-09-13 | Brondby | 2-1 | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-05-04 | Brondby | 0-3 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Copenhagen | 1-2 | Brondby | Superliga |
| 2024-10-27 | Brondby | 0-0 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Copenhagen | 3-1 | Brondby | Superliga |
| 2024-05-12 | Brondby | 1-3 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga |
| 2024-04-01 | FC Copenhagen | 1-2 | Brondby | Superliga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Silkeborg vs Lyngby 2026-11-06
- Odense v Viborg — match page 2026-11-07
- Aarhus vs AC Horsens — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Randers FC vs FC Nordsjaelland 2026-11-08
- FC Midtjylland v Sonderjyske — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Copenhagen, previous: FC Copenhagen v FC Iberia 1999 analysis
- FC Copenhagen, next: Inter Club d'Escaldes vs FC Copenhagen: odds and pick
- Brondby, previous: Brondby vs Aarhus prediction