FC Midtjylland vs Odense preview
In the DBU Pokalen fixture, FC Midtjylland faces Odense with 32% and 34% probabilities for a win, respectively. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which occurs 12% of the time. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with FC Midtjylland recording D-W-D-W-W-D and Odense at D-D-W-W-L-D.
The expected goals are close, with FC Midtjylland at 0.99 and Odense at 1.03. While there is a 42% chance for both teams to score, the model suggests only a 33% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals. This indicates that a low-scoring match is plausible, which could make the predicted scoreline inaccurate.
FC Midtjylland vs Odense: model vs market
| Source | FC Midtjylland | Draw | Odense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 30% | 33% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Midtjylland and Odense expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (FC Midtjylland / Odense)
- 1.11 / 0.67
- Defence rating (FC Midtjylland / Odense)
- 0.56 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Midtjylland vs Odense score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Midtjylland goals. Columns: Odense goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Midtjylland vs Odense goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Midtjylland vs Odense
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 30% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Odense | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.39 |
| No | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Midtjylland or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| X2 (draw or Odense) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Odense win by 2+ | 15% | 6.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Midtjylland and Odense recent form
FC Midtjylland
3W 3D 0L
Odense
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odense away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Midtjylland at home only, Odense away only.
FC Midtjylland vs Odense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Midtjylland 7 · draws 2 · Odense 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Odense | 1-1 | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga |
| 2026-07-17 | FC Midtjylland | 4-1 | Odense | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-02-15 | Odense | 1-4 | FC Midtjylland | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-07-20 | FC Midtjylland | 3-3 | Odense | Denmark Superliga |
| 2023-10-23 | Odense | 1-2 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| 2023-09-24 | FC Midtjylland | 2-1 | Odense | Superliga |
| 2023-06-03 | FC Midtjylland | 4-2 | Odense | Superliga |
| 2023-03-31 | Odense | 1-3 | FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| 2023-01-27 | FC Midtjylland | 4-2 | Odense | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-10-31 | FC Midtjylland | 1-2 | Odense | Superliga |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
- Vanløse v Nykobing FC — match page 2026-10-21
- AB Copenhagen vs Brondby 2026-10-27
- Brabrand vs AC Horsens — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Esbjerg v FC Nordsjaelland — match page 2026-10-28
- Roskilde v Aarhus — match page 2026-10-28
- Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen 2026-10-29
- Lyngby vs Randers FC — team news & stats 2026-11-03
Before and after this match
- FC Midtjylland, previous: FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: odds and pick
- FC Midtjylland, next: FC Midtjylland v Ajax analysis
- Odense, previous: Odense vs Brondby prediction