Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr preview
In the Egypt Premier League fixture, Ceramica Cleopatra has a 43% chance to win against Masr, who has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The expected goals are 1.49 for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.19 for Masr, indicating a competitive match.
While both teams to score has a 55% probability and Over 2.5 goals stands at 50%, factors like recent form could influence the outcome. Ceramica Cleopatra has won their last 6 matches, while Masr has mixed results with 2 wins in their last 6. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr: model vs market
| Source | Ceramica Cleopatra | Draw | Masr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ceramica Cleopatra and Masr expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.68
- Attack rating (Ceramica Cleopatra / Masr)
- 1.35 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Ceramica Cleopatra / Masr)
- 0.97 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ceramica Cleopatra goals. Columns: Masr goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 43% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Masr | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ceramica Cleopatra or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Masr) | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ceramica Cleopatra win by 2+ | 22% | 4.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ceramica Cleopatra and Masr recent form
Ceramica Cleopatra
5W 0D 1L
Masr
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ceramica Cleopatra at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Masr away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ceramica Cleopatra at home only, Masr away only.
Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Ceramica Cleopatra 0 · draws 1 · Masr 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | Masr | 0-0 | Ceramica Cleopatra | Egypt Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- Ceramica Cleopatra, previous: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet: odds and pick
- Masr, previous: Azam vs Masr prediction