Petrojet vs Smouha SC preview
In the match between Petrojet and Smouha SC, the 1X2 probabilities show Petrojet at 36%, Smouha SC at 33%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Both teams have had mixed recent form, with Petrojet recording L-D-W-W-L-L and Smouha SC at W-W-W-L-L-D.
While the model suggests a low-scoring game, with Over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%, these figures could be affected by the teams' recent performances. Petrojet has an expected goals figure of 1.19, slightly higher than Smouha SC's 1.11, indicating a close match. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Petrojet vs Smouha SC: model vs market
| Source | Petrojet | Draw | Smouha SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Petrojet and Smouha SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.30
- Attack rating (Petrojet / Smouha SC)
- 1.33 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Petrojet / Smouha SC)
- 1.38 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Petrojet vs Smouha SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Petrojet goals. Columns: Smouha SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Petrojet vs Smouha SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Petrojet vs Smouha SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrojet | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Smouha SC | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Petrojet or draw) | 67% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Smouha SC) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrojet win by 2+ | 16% | 6.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Petrojet and Smouha SC recent form
Petrojet
2W 1D 3L
Smouha SC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Petrojet at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Smouha SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Petrojet at home only, Smouha SC away only.
Petrojet vs Smouha SC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Petrojet 0 · draws 1 · Smouha SC 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Smouha SC | 0-0 | Petrojet | Egypt Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- Petrojet, previous: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet: odds and pick
- Smouha SC, previous: El Gouna FC v Smouha SC analysis