Inter Turku vs KuPS: model vs market
| Source | Inter Turku | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 37% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 37% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter Turku and KuPS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.68
- Attack rating (Inter Turku / KuPS)
- 0.79 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Inter Turku / KuPS)
- 0.71 / 0.74
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter Turku vs KuPS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter Turku goals. Columns: KuPS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter Turku vs KuPS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 33%
- No goals (0–0)
- 20%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter Turku vs KuPS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Turku | 35% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.72 | |
| KuPS | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33% | 2.99 |
| No | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter Turku or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| X2 (draw or KuPS) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win by 2+ | 13% | 7.69 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter Turku and KuPS recent form
Inter Turku
3W 1D 2L
KuPS
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter Turku at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 12
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-4-2
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 0.77
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter Turku at home only, KuPS away only.
Inter Turku vs KuPS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Inter Turku 2 · draws 4 · KuPS 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Inter Turku | 1-0 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-05-30 | KuPS | 1-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-11-02 | KuPS | 3-2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-10-05 | Inter Turku | 0-3 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-08-17 | KuPS | 2-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-04-05 | Inter Turku | 1-1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-09-21 | Inter Turku | 1-2 | KuPS | Suomen Cup |
| 2024-09-01 | KuPS | 1-2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-04-19 | Inter Turku | 1-1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-03-30 | Inter Turku | 2-2 | KuPS | League Cup |
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