Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik: model vs market
| Source | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 19% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 19% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.26
- Attack rating (Fram Reykjavik / KR Reykjavik)
- 1.17 / 1.49
- Defence rating (Fram Reykjavik / KR Reykjavik)
- 1.14 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fram Reykjavik goals. Columns: KR Reykjavik goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 86%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.38 | |
| KR Reykjavik | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 90% | 1.12 |
| Under 2.5 | 10% | 9.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 86% | 1.16 |
| No | 14% | 7.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fram Reykjavik or draw) | 58% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or KR Reykjavik) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | KR Reykjavik win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Fram Reykjavik and KR Reykjavik recent form
Fram Reykjavik
2W 3D 1L
KR Reykjavik
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fram Reykjavik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 13 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KR Reykjavik away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-4
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.55
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 11
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 3.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fram Reykjavik at home only, KR Reykjavik away only.
Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Fram Reykjavik 1 · draws 1 · KR Reykjavik 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Fram Reykjavik | 2-5 | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-05-17 | KR Reykjavik | 2-2 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-08-18 | Fram Reykjavik | 0-1 | KR Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-05-23 | KR Reykjavik | 2-3 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
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- Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes — team news & stats 2026-10-11