Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes: model vs market
| Source | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | IA Akranes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| Published | 66% | 17% | 17% |
| Edge | -17% | +4% | +13% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.78.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vikingur Reykjavik, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.33 | 1.31 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 5.60 | 5.60 | +0.00 |
| IA Akranes | 6.61 | 6.79 | +0.18 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.25
- Attack rating (Vikingur Reykjavik / IA Akranes)
- 1.13 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Vikingur Reykjavik / IA Akranes)
- 0.94 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vikingur Reykjavik goals. Columns: IA Akranes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 77%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.75 | |
| IA Akranes | 17% | 5.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77% | 1.30 |
| No | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vikingur Reykjavik or draw) | 83% | 1.20 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or IA Akranes) | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win by 2+ | 34% | 2.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vikingur Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form
Vikingur Reykjavik
3W 2D 1L
IA Akranes
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vikingur Reykjavik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.92
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IA Akranes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.58
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vikingur Reykjavik at home only, IA Akranes away only.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Vikingur Reykjavik 3 · draws 1 · IA Akranes 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | IA Akranes | 2-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-04-27 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-0 | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-08-17 | IA Akranes | 0-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-05-24 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
- Fram Reykjavik v KR Reykjavik — match page 2026-10-10
- Breidablik v Keflavik — match page 2026-10-11