Drita vs Prishtina preview
Drita faces Prishtina with a 49% chance of winning compared to Prishtina's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 13% of the time in our model. Drita's expected goals stand at 1.42, while Prishtina's is lower at 0.87.
Drita's recent form shows 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Prishtina has 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Both teams to score is at 45%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides, but the lower expected goals for Prishtina suggests they may struggle to find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Drita vs Prishtina: model vs market
| Source | Drita | Draw | Prishtina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 30% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Drita and Prishtina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (Drita / Prishtina)
- 1.15 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Drita / Prishtina)
- 0.61 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Drita vs Prishtina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Drita goals. Columns: Prishtina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Drita vs Prishtina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Drita vs Prishtina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Prishtina | 22% | 4.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Drita or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Prishtina) | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win by 2+ | 25% | 4.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Drita and Prishtina recent form
Drita
4W 1D 1L
Prishtina
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Drita at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Prishtina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Drita at home only, Prishtina away only.
Drita vs Prishtina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Drita 4 · draws 4 · Prishtina 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Prishtina | 0-3 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-29 | Drita | 1-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-01 | Prishtina | 1-1 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-24 | Drita | 2-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Prishtina | 2-2 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-04-23 | Prishtina | 3-0 | Drita | Cup |
| 2025-04-17 | Drita | 2-0 | Prishtina | Superliga |
| 2025-04-09 | Drita | 0-1 | Prishtina | Cup |
| 2025-02-15 | Prishtina | 3-3 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2024-11-06 | Prishtina | 1-1 | Drita | Superliga |
Before and after this match
- Drita, previous: Drita – Vushtrria, 2026-10-31
- Prishtina, previous: Llapi vs Prishtina prediction