Updated

Kosovo Superliga · Matchday 13

Vushtrria vs Prishtina

Alin prediction Prishtina to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
VushtrriaDrawPrishtina
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.68.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Vushtrria vs Prishtina preview

In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Vushtrria and Prishtina, the 1X2 probabilities show Prishtina at 70% to win, while Vushtrria sits at just 10%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with a 14% chance. Vushtrria's recent form is poor, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Prishtina has won 3 of their last 5.

The expected goals suggest Vushtrria will struggle to score, with only 0.68 expected goals compared to Prishtina's 2.11. There is a 53% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance for both teams to score. However, if Vushtrria can improve their form or if Prishtina underperforms, these predictions could change.

Vushtrria vs Prishtina: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVushtrriaDrawPrishtina
Model10%20%70%
Market———
Published10%20%70%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Vushtrria and Prishtina expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.68Vushtrria
2.11Prishtina
Total expected goals
2.79
Attack rating (Vushtrria / Prishtina)
0.62 / 1.19
Defence rating (Vushtrria / Prishtina)
1.48 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vushtrria vs Prishtina score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.0% 12.1% 13.7% 9.7% 8.3% 1 3.3% 9.7% 9.3% 6.5% 5.6% 2 1.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.9% 3 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 4+ 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Vushtrria goals. Columns: Prishtina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vushtrria vs Prishtina goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 31%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vushtrria vs Prishtina

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vushtrria10%10.21
Draw20%4.90
Prishtina70%1.43
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553%1.89
Under 2.547%2.12
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.27
No56%1.79
Double chance1X (Vushtrria or draw)30%3.31
12 (either side)80%1.26
X2 (draw or Prishtina)90%1.11
Handicap -1Prishtina win by 2+46%2.18
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Vushtrria and Prishtina recent form

Vushtrria 1W 0D 5L
Prishtina 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vushtrria at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
2.80
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Prishtina away

Record (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Win rate
83%
Goals for / match
1.83
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vushtrria at home only, Prishtina away only.

Vushtrria vs Prishtina head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Vushtrria 0 · draws 0 · Prishtina 7.

VushtrriaDrawsPrishtina
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-04Prishtina1-0VushtrriaKosovo Superliga
2023-04-19Prishtina6-0VushtrriaCup
2023-04-05Vushtrria1-2PrishtinaCup
2020-06-13Vushtrria0-2PrishtinaSuperliga
2020-02-15Prishtina4-0VushtrriaSuperliga
2020-02-08Prishtina4-1VushtrriaCup
2019-09-29Vushtrria0-3PrishtinaSuperliga

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Prishtina to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on Prishtina