Gjilani vs Malisheva preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Gjilani and Malisheva, the 1X2 probabilities show Malisheva at 42%, while Gjilani sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Gjilani's expected goals are 0.90, compared to Malisheva's 1.21, indicating a potential struggle for Gjilani to find the net.
Both teams to score stands at 43%, suggesting a reasonable chance for both sides to score. However, Gjilani's recent form of D-D-W-W-L-L may hinder their chances, while Malisheva's stronger run of D-W-W-D-W-W could lead to a more favorable outcome for them. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the match forecast.
Gjilani vs Malisheva: model vs market
| Source | Gjilani | Draw | Malisheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gjilani and Malisheva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.10
- Attack rating (Gjilani / Malisheva)
- 1.00 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Gjilani / Malisheva)
- 0.77 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gjilani vs Malisheva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gjilani goals. Columns: Malisheva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gjilani vs Malisheva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gjilani vs Malisheva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gjilani | 26% | 3.82 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Malisheva | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.33 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gjilani or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Malisheva) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Gjilani and Malisheva recent form
Gjilani
2W 2D 2L
Malisheva
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gjilani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Malisheva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 2.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Gjilani at home only, Malisheva away only.
Gjilani vs Malisheva head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Gjilani 2 · draws 2 · Malisheva 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Malisheva | 3-1 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-29 | Malisheva | 3-1 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-02-28 | Gjilani | 2-1 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-11-09 | Malisheva | 1-2 | Gjilani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Gjilani | 1-3 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-05-06 | Gjilani | 0-0 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2025-03-12 | Malisheva | 4-1 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2024-12-01 | Gjilani | 0-1 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-09-22 | Malisheva | 2-1 | Gjilani | Superliga |
| 2024-05-05 | Malisheva | 0-0 | Gjilani | Superliga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Dukagjini vs Llapi — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Feronikeli vs Ballkani 2026-11-07
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Vushtrria vs Prishtina 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Gjilani, previous: Dukagjini vs Gjilani: odds and pick
- Malisheva, previous: Malisheva v Feronikeli analysis