Malisheva vs Feronikeli preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Malisheva and Feronikeli, the 1X2 probabilities show Malisheva at 65% to win, while Feronikeli sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 13% chance. Malisheva's expected goals are 1.96, compared to Feronikeli's 0.74, indicating a significant offensive edge for the home side.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Malisheva has won their last 6 matches, while Feronikeli has a mixed record with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 games. Additionally, the probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 51% and both teams to score at 46%, suggesting that while Malisheva is favored, surprises can happen in football.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli: model vs market
| Source | Malisheva | Draw | Feronikeli |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Malisheva and Feronikeli expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Malisheva / Feronikeli)
- 1.45 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Malisheva / Feronikeli)
- 0.71 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Malisheva goals. Columns: Feronikeli goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Malisheva vs Feronikeli
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malisheva | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Feronikeli | 12% | 8.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| No | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Malisheva or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Feronikeli) | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 41% | 2.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Malisheva and Feronikeli recent form
Malisheva
5W 1D 0L
Feronikeli
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Malisheva at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Feronikeli away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Malisheva at home only, Feronikeli away only.
Malisheva vs Feronikeli head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Malisheva 5 · draws 4 · Feronikeli 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Feronikeli | 0-3 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-05-11 | Malisheva | 1-0 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2025-03-16 | Feronikeli | 0-0 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-12-08 | Malisheva | 0-0 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-09-29 | Feronikeli | 1-1 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-04-27 | Feronikeli | 2-1 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-02-24 | Malisheva | 2-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-02-03 | Feronikeli | 1-3 | Malisheva | Cup |
| 2023-11-04 | Feronikeli | 0-0 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2023-09-02 | Malisheva | 4-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ballkani v Drenica Skënderaj — match page 2026-10-30
- Llapi vs Prishtina — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Drita vs Vushtrria 2026-10-31
- Dukagjini vs Gjilani — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Malisheva, previous: Drenica Skënderaj – Malisheva, 2026-10-24
- Feronikeli, previous: Feronikeli v Dukagjini analysis