Feronikeli vs Ballkani preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture between Feronikeli and Ballkani, the 1X2 probabilities show Ballkani at 39% and Feronikeli at 27%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 0-1, which occurs with a 14% probability. Feronikeli's expected goals stand at 0.85, while Ballkani's is 1.06, indicating a potential edge for the visitors.
However, there are factors that could affect this prediction. Feronikeli has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, showing some resilience, while Ballkani's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 5 games. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 39%, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 30%, suggesting that while a low-scoring game is likely, surprises can happen.
Feronikeli vs Ballkani: model vs market
| Source | Feronikeli | Draw | Ballkani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 34% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 34% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Feronikeli and Ballkani expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.91
- Attack rating (Feronikeli / Ballkani)
- 0.79 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Feronikeli / Ballkani)
- 0.87 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Feronikeli vs Ballkani score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Feronikeli goals. Columns: Ballkani goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Feronikeli vs Ballkani goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Feronikeli vs Ballkani
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Feronikeli | 27% | 3.66 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Ballkani | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.58 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Feronikeli or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or Ballkani) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win by 2+ | 16% | 6.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Feronikeli and Ballkani recent form
Feronikeli
2W 3D 1L
Ballkani
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Feronikeli at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
Ballkani away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Feronikeli at home only, Ballkani away only.
Feronikeli vs Ballkani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Feronikeli 0 · draws 3 · Ballkani 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Ballkani | 2-0 | Feronikeli | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-04-21 | Feronikeli | 3-3 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2025-02-21 | Ballkani | 1-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-11-04 | Feronikeli | 1-4 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2024-08-25 | Ballkani | 3-1 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2024-04-13 | Feronikeli | 0-2 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2024-02-16 | Ballkani | 2-2 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2023-10-29 | Feronikeli | 0-3 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2023-08-20 | Ballkani | 2-0 | Feronikeli | Superliga |
| 2022-05-08 | Feronikeli | 0-2 | Ballkani | Superliga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Dukagjini vs Llapi — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Gjilani v Malisheva — match page 2026-11-07
- Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Vushtrria vs Prishtina 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Feronikeli, previous: Malisheva v Feronikeli analysis
- Ballkani, previous: Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj: odds and pick