Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita preview
Drenica Skënderaj faces Drita with a 16% chance of winning compared to Drita's 59%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which reflects Drita's expected goals of 1.84 against Drenica's 0.88. Drita's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Drenica has struggled with 4 losses in their last 5 games.
The model suggests a 51% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score. However, Drenica's recent performance could lead to a lower-scoring match than expected. With a confidence grade of C, the outcome remains uncertain, particularly if Drenica can improve their attacking play.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita: model vs market
| Source | Drenica Skënderaj | Draw | Drita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.72
- Attack rating (Drenica Skënderaj / Drita)
- 0.86 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Drenica Skënderaj / Drita)
- 1.32 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Drenica Skënderaj goals. Columns: Drita goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drenica Skënderaj | 16% | 6.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | |
| Drita | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Drenica Skënderaj or draw) | 41% | 2.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Drita) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win by 2+ | 35% | 2.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Drenica Skënderaj and Drita recent form
Drenica Skënderaj
1W 2D 3L
Drita
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Drenica Skënderaj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Drita away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-1
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Drenica Skënderaj at home only, Drita away only.
Drenica Skënderaj vs Drita head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Drenica Skënderaj 3 · draws 2 · Drita 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Drita | 0-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-19 | Drenica Skënderaj | 1-0 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-02-14 | Drita | 1-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-10-29 | Drenica Skënderaj | 3-1 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-17 | Drita | 0-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2023-05-28 | Drenica Skënderaj | 1-3 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2023-04-02 | Drita | 3-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga |
| 2022-11-26 | Drenica Skënderaj | 1-3 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2022-10-01 | Drita | 2-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga |
| 2022-05-01 | Drita | 1-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Dukagjini vs Llapi — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Feronikeli vs Ballkani 2026-11-07
- Gjilani v Malisheva — match page 2026-11-07
- Vushtrria vs Prishtina 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Drenica Skënderaj, previous: Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj: odds and pick
- Drita, previous: Drita vs Prishtina prediction