Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj preview
In the Kosovo Superliga fixture, Ballkani has a 54% probability of winning against Drenica Skënderaj, who stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals figure of 1.26 for Ballkani and 0.96 for Drenica Skënderaj.
While Ballkani's recent form shows 3 losses in their last 5 matches, Drenica Skënderaj has managed 2 wins in the same period. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 38%, and both teams to score is at 46%. These factors could influence the outcome, especially if Drenica Skënderaj manages to improve their scoring.
Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj: model vs market
| Source | Ballkani | Draw | Drenica Skënderaj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 58% | 25% | 17% |
| Published | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ballkani, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-29.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ballkani | 1.50 | 1.54 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.56 | -0.06 |
| Drenica Skënderaj | 5.70 | 5.40 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ballkani and Drenica Skënderaj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Ballkani / Drenica Skënderaj)
- 0.78 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Ballkani / Drenica Skënderaj)
- 0.83 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ballkani goals. Columns: Drenica Skënderaj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ballkani | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Drenica Skënderaj | 19% | 5.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.20 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ballkani or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Drenica Skënderaj) | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ballkani win by 2+ | 19% | 5.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ballkani and Drenica Skënderaj recent form
Ballkani
1W 1D 4L
Drenica Skënderaj
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ballkani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Drenica Skënderaj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ballkani at home only, Drenica Skënderaj away only.
Ballkani vs Drenica Skënderaj head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Ballkani 8 · draws 1 · Drenica Skënderaj 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Drenica Skënderaj | 0-2 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-30 | Drenica Skënderaj | 1-2 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-03-01 | Ballkani | 1-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-11-08 | Drenica Skënderaj | 2-0 | Ballkani | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-09-14 | Ballkani | 3-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2023-12-06 | Drenica Skënderaj | 0-2 | Ballkani | Cup |
| 2023-04-16 | Drenica Skënderaj | 0-1 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2023-02-19 | Ballkani | 2-1 | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga |
| 2022-10-16 | Drenica Skënderaj | 1-1 | Ballkani | Superliga |
| 2022-08-21 | Ballkani | 1-0 | Drenica Skënderaj | Superliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Llapi vs Prishtina — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Drita vs Vushtrria 2026-10-31
- Malisheva v Feronikeli — match page 2026-11-01
- Dukagjini vs Gjilani — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Ballkani, previous: Vushtrria vs Ballkani prediction
- Drenica Skënderaj, previous: Drenica Skënderaj – Malisheva, 2026-10-24