Drita vs Vushtrria preview
Drita faces Vushtrria with a strong 79% probability of winning, compared to Vushtrria's 5%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.28 for Drita and just 0.44 for Vushtrria. Drita's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Vushtrria has lost 5 of their last 6.
However, the prediction could be challenged if Vushtrria manages to score, as there is a 32% chance for both teams to score. Additionally, the possibility of Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%, which suggests that if Vushtrria finds the net, the game could shift from a straightforward outcome.
Drita vs Vushtrria: model vs market
| Source | Drita | Draw | Vushtrria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79% | 16% | 5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 79% | 16% | 5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Drita and Vushtrria expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.71
- Attack rating (Drita / Vushtrria)
- 1.15 / 0.60
- Defence rating (Drita / Vushtrria)
- 0.61 / 1.40
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Drita vs Vushtrria score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Drita goals. Columns: Vushtrria goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Drita vs Vushtrria goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Drita vs Vushtrria
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.11 | |
| Vushtrria | 5% | 20.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.09 |
| No | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Drita or draw) | 95% | 1.05 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Vushtrria) | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Drita win by 2+ | 55% | 1.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Drita and Vushtrria recent form
Drita
4W 1D 1L
Vushtrria
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Drita at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Vushtrria away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Drita at home only, Vushtrria away only.
Drita vs Vushtrria head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Drita 4 · draws 0 · Vushtrria 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Vushtrria | 0-1 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2020-06-24 | Vushtrria | 0-4 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2020-02-21 | Vushtrria | 2-3 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2019-10-03 | Drita | 5-1 | Vushtrria | Superliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ballkani v Drenica Skënderaj — match page 2026-10-30
- Llapi vs Prishtina — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Malisheva v Feronikeli — match page 2026-11-01
- Dukagjini vs Gjilani — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Drita, previous: Prishtina vs Drita: odds and pick
- Drita, next: Drita vs Prishtina prediction
- Vushtrria, previous: Vushtrria vs Ballkani prediction