Llapi vs Prishtina preview
In the matchup between Llapi and Prishtina, the 1X2 probabilities show Prishtina at 57% to win, compared to Llapi's 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Prishtina's expected goals of 1.91 against Llapi's 1.04.
Both teams have had contrasting recent form, with Llapi drawing once and losing five times, while Prishtina has won three of their last five matches. The model predicts a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%. However, unexpected performances from Llapi could alter these outcomes.
Llapi vs Prishtina: model vs market
| Source | Llapi | Draw | Prishtina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Llapi and Prishtina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.95
- Attack rating (Llapi / Prishtina)
- 0.84 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Llapi / Prishtina)
- 1.33 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Llapi vs Prishtina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Llapi goals. Columns: Prishtina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Llapi vs Prishtina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Llapi vs Prishtina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llapi | 19% | 5.19 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Prishtina | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Llapi or draw) | 43% | 2.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Prishtina) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Prishtina win by 2+ | 34% | 2.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Llapi and Prishtina recent form
Llapi
0W 2D 4L
Prishtina
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Llapi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Prishtina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Llapi at home only, Prishtina away only.
Llapi vs Prishtina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Llapi 1 · draws 4 · Prishtina 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Prishtina | 4-0 | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-18 | Llapi | 0-0 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-02-15 | Prishtina | 4-1 | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-10-29 | Llapi | 2-1 | Prishtina | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-08-24 | Prishtina | 3-0 | Llapi | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-05-22 | Prishtina | 1-0 | Llapi | Cup |
| 2025-04-28 | Llapi | 1-1 | Prishtina | Superliga |
| 2025-03-03 | Prishtina | 0-0 | Llapi | Superliga |
| 2024-11-10 | Llapi | 1-1 | Prishtina | Superliga |
| 2024-08-31 | Prishtina | 3-2 | Llapi | Superliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ballkani v Drenica Skënderaj — match page 2026-10-30
- Drita vs Vushtrria 2026-10-31
- Malisheva v Feronikeli — match page 2026-11-01
- Dukagjini vs Gjilani — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Llapi, previous: Gjilani vs Llapi: odds and pick
- Prishtina, previous: Prishtina vs Drita: odds and pick
- Prishtina, next: Drita vs Prishtina prediction