Bokelj vs Petrovac preview
Bokelj faces Petrovac in the Montenegro First League, with a 59% chance of Bokelj winning according to model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 21% of the time. However, Bokelj's recent form shows mixed results, with two draws in their last three matches, which could affect their performance.
Petrovac has struggled, with six consecutive matches without a win, including five draws. Both teams to score is at 29%, indicating a low likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals stands at only 28%, suggesting a low-scoring affair is more probable. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the model's predictions.
Bokelj vs Petrovac: model vs market
| Source | Bokelj | Draw | Petrovac |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 29% | 11% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 29% | 11% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bokelj and Petrovac expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.85
- Attack rating (Bokelj / Petrovac)
- 0.95 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Bokelj / Petrovac)
- 0.60 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bokelj vs Petrovac score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bokelj goals. Columns: Petrovac goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bokelj vs Petrovac goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 29%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bokelj vs Petrovac
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bokelj | 59% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 | |
| Petrovac | 11% | 9.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29% | 3.50 |
| No | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bokelj or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Petrovac) | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bokelj win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Bokelj and Petrovac recent form
Bokelj
2W 3D 1L
Petrovac
0W 4D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bokelj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrovac away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Bokelj at home only, Petrovac away only.
Bokelj vs Petrovac head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Bokelj 2 · draws 1 · Petrovac 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Petrovac | 0-1 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-04-08 | Bokelj | 0-1 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-02-14 | Petrovac | 1-0 | Bokelj | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-12-10 | Petrovac | 0-0 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-10-01 | Bokelj | 1-2 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-08-04 | Petrovac | 2-0 | Bokelj | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-05-14 | Petrovac | 0-1 | Bokelj | First League |
| 2025-03-16 | Bokelj | 0-4 | Petrovac | First League |
| 2024-11-10 | Petrovac | 1-0 | Bokelj | First League |
| 2024-09-14 | Bokelj | 0-1 | Petrovac | First League |
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