Universitario vs Sport Boys preview
In the upcoming match between Universitario and Sport Boys, the 1X2 probabilities show Universitario at 57%, while Sport Boys stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which corresponds to a 10% chance. Universitario has an expected goals figure of 1.93 compared to Sport Boys' 1.04, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. Universitario has a record of W-D-L-W-D-W, while Sport Boys has L-L-D-W-L-W. With a 57% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance for both teams to score, the match could see more action if Sport Boys finds their scoring touch.
Universitario vs Sport Boys: model vs market
| Source | Universitario | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Universitario and Sport Boys expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Universitario / Sport Boys)
- 1.40 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Universitario / Sport Boys)
- 1.12 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Universitario vs Sport Boys score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Universitario goals. Columns: Sport Boys goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Universitario vs Sport Boys goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Universitario vs Sport Boys
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 | |
| Sport Boys | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Universitario or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Boys) | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario win by 2+ | 34% | 2.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Universitario and Sport Boys recent form
Universitario
3W 2D 1L
Sport Boys
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Universitario at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-3-2
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-9
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Universitario at home only, Sport Boys away only.
Universitario vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Universitario 2 · draws 1 · Sport Boys 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Sport Boys | 0-0 | Universitario | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-08-09 | Universitario | 1-0 | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-03-09 | Sport Boys | 0-2 | Universitario | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
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- FBC Melgar v Comerciantes Unidos — match page 2026-10-28
- Alianza Atletico vs Deportivo Garcilaso — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Cienciano vs Atletico Grau 2026-10-28
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas v Cusco — match page 2026-10-28
- ADT vs UCV Moquegua — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Huancayo 2026-10-28
- FC Cajamarca v UTC Cajamarca — match page 2026-10-28
Before and after this match
- Universitario, previous: Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College prediction
- Sport Boys, previous: Sport Boys – FC Cajamarca, 2026-10-25