Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview
Ulsan Hyundai FC faces Bucheon FC 1995 with a 57% chance of winning, while Bucheon has only a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.92 for Ulsan and 1.02 for Bucheon.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 56%, indicating a potential for an open match. However, Ulsan's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Bucheon is struggling with 5 winless games. This could affect the predicted outcome if Ulsan fails to capitalize on their home advantage.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: model vs market
| Source | Ulsan Hyundai FC | Draw | Bucheon FC 1995 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Bucheon FC 1995)
- 1.12 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Ulsan Hyundai FC / Bucheon FC 1995)
- 0.98 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ulsan Hyundai FC goals. Columns: Bucheon FC 1995 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 57% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 19% | 5.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Bucheon FC 1995) | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ulsan Hyundai FC win by 2+ | 35% | 2.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3W 1D 2L
Bucheon FC 1995
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ulsan Hyundai FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-1-6
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.73
- Goals against / match
- 1.53
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucheon FC 1995 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-6
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.93
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 14
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ulsan Hyundai FC at home only, Bucheon FC 1995 away only.
Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2 · draws 0 · Bucheon FC 1995 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1-0 | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1-2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | K League 1 |
Before and after this match
- Ulsan Hyundai FC, previous: Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC, 2026-10-11
- Bucheon FC 1995, previous: Gangwon FC – Bucheon FC 1995, 2026-10-09