Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 preview
Gangwon FC hosts Bucheon FC 1995 in a K League 1 match with a 51% probability for a Gangwon FC win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects Gangwon's expected goals of 1.49 compared to Bucheon's 1.10. However, the match could see a different outcome if Bucheon manages to improve its form, as they have not won in their last six matches.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. Over 2.5 goals has a probability of 48%, suggesting that while a low-scoring game is likely, there is still potential for more action. Gangwon's recent form shows a mix of draws and a win, while Bucheon has struggled with six consecutive matches without a win.
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995: model vs market
| Source | Gangwon FC | Draw | Bucheon FC 1995 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | -8% | +2% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gangwon FC, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 1.76 | 1.75 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.50 | -0.01 |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 4.54 | 4.53 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Gangwon FC / Bucheon FC 1995)
- 0.88 / 0.96
- Defence rating (Gangwon FC / Bucheon FC 1995)
- 0.93 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gangwon FC goals. Columns: Bucheon FC 1995 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gangwon FC | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gangwon FC or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Bucheon FC 1995) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gangwon FC win by 2+ | 23% | 4.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Gangwon FC and Bucheon FC 1995 recent form
Gangwon FC
1W 4D 1L
Bucheon FC 1995
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gangwon FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-8-3
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.13
- Goals against / match
- 0.87
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 15
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucheon FC 1995 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-5
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gangwon FC at home only, Bucheon FC 1995 away only.
Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Gangwon FC 2 · draws 1 · Bucheon FC 1995 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Gangwon FC | 0-3 | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 0-0 | Gangwon FC | K League 1 |
| 2016-11-05 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 1-2 | Gangwon FC | K League 2 |
| 2016-10-05 | Gangwon FC | 0-1 | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
| 2016-08-20 | Gangwon FC | 0-2 | Bucheon FC 1995 | K League 2 |
| 2016-07-10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 0-1 | Gangwon FC | K League 2 |
| 2016-05-16 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 3-1 | Gangwon FC | K League 2 |
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