Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang preview
Gimcheon Sangmu FC hosts FC Anyang with a 51% chance of winning according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects Gimcheon’s expected goals of 1.72 compared to FC Anyang's 1.01. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that the probabilities are blended with market odds, which could lead to unexpected outcomes.
Both teams to score has a 53% likelihood, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 51%. Gimcheon’s recent form shows a mix of results with three draws in their last five matches, while FC Anyang has won two of their last five. These factors suggest that while Gimcheon may have the edge, the match could still be competitive.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang: model vs market
| Source | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | Draw | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Published | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.01.
- The market prices Gimcheon Sangmu FC below the model: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1.87 | 1.85 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.63 | -0.03 |
| FC Anyang | 3.80 | 3.88 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FC Anyang)
- 0.90 / 0.99
- Defence rating (Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FC Anyang)
- 0.84 / 1.49
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gimcheon Sangmu FC goals. Columns: FC Anyang goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| FC Anyang | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| No | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Anyang) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC win by 2+ | 30% | 3.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang recent form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1W 4D 1L
FC Anyang
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gimcheon Sangmu FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-10-3
- Win rate
- 7%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 14
- They have won 4 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Anyang away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-6-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 15
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gimcheon Sangmu FC at home only, FC Anyang away only.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2 · draws 2 · FC Anyang 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | FC Anyang | 2-2 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 | FC Anyang | K League 1 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Anyang | 4-1 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-0 | FC Anyang | K League 1 |
| 2025-03-08 | FC Anyang | 1-3 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | K League 1 |
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