IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between IF Brommapojkarna and Djurgardens IF, the 1X2 probabilities show Djurgardens IF at 71% to win, compared to just 11% for IF Brommapojkarna. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at an 11% probability. Djurgardens IF's expected goals stand at 2.40, while IF Brommapojkarna's is only 0.84, indicating a significant offensive gap.
While the model predicts a strong performance from Djurgardens IF, factors such as IF Brommapojkarna's recent form of L-L-W-L-L-W could influence the match outcome. Additionally, the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 63%, and both teams to score stands at 53%, suggesting potential for more action than just a straightforward win.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF: model vs market
| Source | IF Brommapojkarna | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
IF Brommapojkarna and Djurgardens IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.24
- Attack rating (IF Brommapojkarna / Djurgardens IF)
- 0.88 / 1.55
- Defence rating (IF Brommapojkarna / Djurgardens IF)
- 1.16 / 0.62
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Columns: Djurgardens IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Brommapojkarna | 11% | 9.49 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.43 | |
| Djurgardens IF | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IF Brommapojkarna or draw) | 29% | 3.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Djurgardens IF) | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win by 2+ | 49% | 2.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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IF Brommapojkarna and Djurgardens IF recent form
IF Brommapojkarna
2W 0D 4L
Djurgardens IF
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IF Brommapojkarna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Djurgardens IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-2
- Win rate
- 70%
- Goals for / match
- 1.70
- Goals against / match
- 0.70
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: IF Brommapojkarna at home only, Djurgardens IF away only.
IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: IF Brommapojkarna 1 · draws 0 · Djurgardens IF 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Djurgardens IF | 1-2 | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-03-08 | Djurgardens IF | 2-0 | IF Brommapojkarna | Svenska Cupen |
| 2025-08-24 | Djurgardens IF | 1-0 | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-29 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0-1 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
Before and after this match
- IF Brommapojkarna, previous: AIK Stockholm – IF Brommapojkarna, 2026-10-10
- Djurgardens IF, previous: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF prediction