AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna, the model gives AIK Stockholm a 50% chance of winning, while the market reflects a similar sentiment. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the 61% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
However, AIK Stockholm's recent form shows two losses in their last three matches, and IF Brommapojkarna has won two of their last three games. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results, impacting the predicted outcomes. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna: model vs market
| Source | AIK Stockholm | Draw | IF Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 50% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.25.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AIK Stockholm, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm | 1.90 | 1.90 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.77 | 3.75 | -0.02 |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 3.62 | 3.60 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (AIK Stockholm / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 1.06 / 0.88
- Defence rating (AIK Stockholm / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 1.06 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AIK Stockholm goals. Columns: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 50% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.63 |
| No | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AIK Stockholm or draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or IF Brommapojkarna) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | AIK Stockholm win by 2+ | 30% | 3.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AIK Stockholm and IF Brommapojkarna recent form
AIK Stockholm
2W 2D 2L
IF Brommapojkarna
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AIK Stockholm at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-5
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.90
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
- They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Brommapojkarna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-3-5
- Win rate
- 27%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 2.09
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 11
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AIK Stockholm at home only, IF Brommapojkarna away only.
AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: AIK Stockholm 2 · draws 1 · IF Brommapojkarna 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | IF Brommapojkarna | 2-2 | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-09-15 | AIK Stockholm | 2-1 | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-25 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0-1 | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
- IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK 2026-10-09
- Gais vs Sirius — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Mjallby AIF vs Degerfors IF 2026-10-10
- Hammarby FF v Djurgardens IF — match page 2026-10-11
- BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad 2026-10-12
- Malmo FF v Kalmar FF — match page 2026-10-12