IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK, the key number is IFK Goteborg's 54% probability to win in the 1X2 market. They have been in strong recent form, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. However, Vasteras SK FK is also performing well, winning four of their last five games, which could disrupt Goteborg's momentum.
The expected goals show IFK Goteborg at 1.65 and Vasteras SK FK at 1.16, suggesting a competitive match. With both teams to score at 56% and Over 2.5 goals at 53%, there is potential for an exciting game. If Vasteras SK FK can capitalize on their recent form, it may challenge Goteborg's expected dominance.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK: model vs market
| Source | IFK Goteborg | Draw | Vasteras SK FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
| Published | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Edge | -8% | +3% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on IFK Goteborg, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 1.67 | 1.67 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.03 | 4.00 | -0.03 |
| Vasteras SK FK | 4.45 | 4.40 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.81
- Attack rating (IFK Goteborg / Vasteras SK FK)
- 1.26 / 1.13
- Defence rating (IFK Goteborg / Vasteras SK FK)
- 0.76 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IFK Goteborg goals. Columns: Vasteras SK FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 | |
| Vasteras SK FK | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IFK Goteborg or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Vasteras SK FK) | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Handicap -1 | IFK Goteborg win by 2+ | 26% | 3.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
IFK Goteborg and Vasteras SK FK recent form
IFK Goteborg
5W 1D 0L
Vasteras SK FK
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IFK Goteborg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-3
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.36
- Goals against / match
- 1.18
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasteras SK FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-4
- Win rate
- 55%
- Goals for / match
- 1.55
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: IFK Goteborg at home only, Vasteras SK FK away only.
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FK head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: IFK Goteborg 2 · draws 2 · Vasteras SK FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Vasteras SK FK | 4-5 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-09-26 | Vasteras SK FK | 1-1 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-07-21 | IFK Goteborg | 1-1 | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
| 2020-02-22 | IFK Goteborg | 2-0 | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
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