Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 23

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad

· Borås Arena, Boras· Referee Fredrik Klitte

Full time4 – 0

Alin prediction was IF Elfsborg to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
IF ElfsborgDrawHalmstad

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceIF ElfsborgDrawHalmstad
Model62%25%13%
Market71%18%11%
Published69%20%12%
Edge-2%+2%0%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.68.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad odds movement

Median bookmaker price on IF Elfsborg, 20 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 1.35Now 1.31 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
IF Elfsborg1.351.31-0.03
Draw4.885.20+0.33
Halmstad7.828.45+0.62

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

IF Elfsborg and Halmstad expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.76IF Elfsborg
0.68Halmstad
Total expected goals
2.44
Attack rating (IF Elfsborg / Halmstad)
1.09 / 0.72
Defence rating (IF Elfsborg / Halmstad)
0.70 / 1.05

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 1 14.3% 11.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 2 13.5% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 3 7.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: IF Elfsborg goals. Columns: Halmstad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
42%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2IF Elfsborg69%1.45
Draw20%5.09
Halmstad12%8.69
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.27
Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes42%2.39
No58%1.72
Double chance1X (IF Elfsborg or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)80%1.24
X2 (draw or Halmstad)31%3.21
Handicap -1IF Elfsborg win by 2+37%2.71
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

IF Elfsborg and Halmstad recent form

IF Elfsborg 4W 1D 1L
Halmstad 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

IF Elfsborg at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Win rate
55%
Goals for / match
1.55
Goals against / match
0.82
Clean sheets
5 of 11
  • They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Halmstad away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-8
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.64
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 11
  • They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 22 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: IF Elfsborg at home only, Halmstad away only.

Injuries & availability

IF Elfsborg absences

  • L. Hagg inactive
  • M. Rohden muscle injury
  • P. Frick inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

Expected lineups

IF Elfsborg lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 31 I. Pettersson
  2. 23 N. Hult
  3. 4 T. Isherwood
  4. 6 R. Wikström
  5. 16 A. Jensen
  6. 25 A. Sigurpálsson
  7. 18 J. Magnússon
  8. 9 A. Zeneli
  9. 19 J. Beck
  10. 29 M. Kamara
  11. 21 L. Östman

Bench: J. Esenga, O. Nordvall, S. Holmén, S. Olsson, T. Silverholt, T. Sander, S. Hedlund, D. Krasniqi

Halmstad lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 1 T. Rönning
  2. 24 R. Kaib
  3. 3 G. Wallentin
  4. 5 P. Gregor
  5. 17 A. Boman
  6. 14 H. Carneil
  7. 27 R. Ascone
  8. 6 J. Allansson
  9. 28 T. Trybull
  10. 9 O. Faraj
  11. 11 L. Arvidsson

Bench: F. Schyberg, N. Mäenpää, E. Tõugjas, Malte Persson, M. Illary, Oliver Kapsimalis, A. Zeljkovic, A. Damnjanovic Nilsson, A. Wihed

IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: IF Elfsborg 7 · draws 2 · Halmstad 1.

IF ElfsborgDrawsHalmstad
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16Halmstad1-1IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
2025-08-24IF Elfsborg1-2HalmstadAllsvenskan
2025-05-25Halmstad1-4IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
2024-09-15Halmstad0-1IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
2024-05-24IF Elfsborg2-0HalmstadAllsvenskan
2024-03-22IF Elfsborg4-0HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
2023-09-25Halmstad0-1IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
2023-05-03IF Elfsborg6-1HalmstadAllsvenskan
2023-03-24Halmstad0-0IF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs
2022-03-25Halmstad0-4IF ElfsborgFriendlies Clubs

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Before and after this match